I think three things will contribute to Brown's defeat: Obama being on the ballot; his hard negative turn; no conservative enthusiasm.
@jimantle Races typically regress to the mean as the campaign wanes.
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@mtracey Imperfect comparison bc Kerry was incumbent, but Brown will likely run ahead of Weld in '96, 2 years removed from 71% reelection. -
@jimantle I think that's got to do with his relatable personality, his "moderation," and the fact that he was a political star for awhile. - 5 more replies
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