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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Aug 26
    • Report Tweet

    New Monmouth poll with Bernie ahead nationally has a sample size of 298 phone respondents. Small, but still potentially accurate! Case in point for why Bernie supporters should stop complaining about poll methodology every time a result comes out that they don't like

    10:14 AM - 26 Aug 2019
    • 14 Retweets
    • 68 Likes
    • young flex #HandsOffVenezuela New Paris-ite ⏳ Desiree Assaad Zerabp Michael Hinojosa Alex Nomad ‏نومَد Mister Nobody Miguelangel Ramirez Barcelo
    28 replies 14 retweets 68 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. #HandsOffVenezuela New Paris-ite  ⏳‏ @NewParisite Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        With yrs under my belt as one of the ones dialing (not literally...computer program does that part) & polling, the greatest change I've seen over time is MORE invalid numbers & fewer & fewer ppl taking the call.

        1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
      3. #HandsOffVenezuela New Paris-ite  ⏳‏ @NewParisite Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NewParisite @mtracey

        Even 20 yrs ago my experience was that retired, older ppl were the most willing to do surveys. Nowadays between the use of robo call zapping apps & ppl who don't answer unknown numbers I think the poll participants are a select group.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Mister Nobody‏ @mister_nobody67 Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Word is apparently getting out that Biden's faculties ain't what they used to be. 😬

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Oblomov's Dream‏ @languissant Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Personally I’ve never disputed the aggregate as being reflective. Which is why when you tweeted about this a week or so back I’d conmented that Biden is ahead 11-14% but that it was a significant drop in his former 25%+ lead. Polls aren’t perfect but r our best indication

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. david hirschowitz‏ @davidonmi Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        The methodology can be sketchy, but the real problem is how the polls are covered. The media highlights polls he's down in and not the ones he does well to create a false narrative.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Surgical‏ @Dildiwana11 Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Do they just randomly call 298 people ? Do they call same people every time to check whether they change their mind or not ?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Mary Anne Cummings‏ @razorgrrl Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Tho Sanders did well, I still think that Monmouth’s polls should be taken with an asterisk... their Iowa poll that showed Sanders in 4th place took from a raw sample of 72% of people 50 and above. It IS important to look at who they are polling to figure out where we’re at...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. T-Covfefe‏ @MyPlace4U Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        You gotta look at the crowds attending the rallies. Warren and Sanders have the biggest crowds.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Daniel  🌟‏ @hexen220 Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Yes a sample size of 300 people choosing between 20 candidates is potentially incredibly accurate

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Brenda Vitucci‏ @BrendaVitucci Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Marriane Williamson at 2% in this poll beating Gabbard.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. jcricket 🌻 🌹 🏴‍☠️ 🐾 🍸‏ @therealjcricket Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        since when does sample size = methodology? It's one factor of many. seems to me you are over-simplifying the complaints against some of the polling.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. 1 more reply
      1. James Madison‏ @JamesMa96163439 Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Bad call... Ultimately just because one poll is favoring Bernie, doesn’t mean that everyone should be silent about polls, especially given the issues surrounding polling and selective access... You are telling Bernie supporters that they should not defend others being suppressed.

        0 replies 2 retweets 4 likes
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      1.  🍂 Bonfire  🎃 #BoycottBlizzard‏ @Shouryureppa Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Polls are propaganda tools that they use to control voters. Trusting them is absolute idiocy.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Scirpus‏ @Scirpus9 Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        An error of 6% is shockingly high to be fair.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Mike Sarvis  🌹‏ @Sarvis1James Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Why shouldn't we call out polls that are specifically rigged to give a result that favors certain candidates over others?

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. progressive casual‏ @PeriPolitics Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Just because the candidate we prefer is winning doesn't mean the poll is good. Bernie and his supporters need to keep the same cynical energy we have for MSM bias for BS polls with over a 5% margin of error

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Anne Pickering‏ @CatchlightAnne Aug 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Give me a break Michael🙄 298 folks picking up a landline represent the will of the people Shame on you

        1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
      3. 6 more replies

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