80% of the comments I see about Biden's lead are declarations that the commenter does not believe the polls. Biden leads in polls with vastly different sample sizes (from 400 to 17,000) and methodologies. Instead of becoming a statistical nihilist, understand why he's leading!
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You are of course totally correct about the ending figures. Hit that RCP link however and go back in time. Who's got the race so close (including the MOE) that Trump is being given any real chance? This is why there are 10K+ "What happened?!" race stories in Nov-Dec 2016.
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Few were more critical of the media coverage in 2016 than me. But it’s the wrong lesson to conclude, as many now do, that the polls were worthless. They were just being read badly.
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True, the national polling wasn't horribly far off, but some of the state level polling was disastrously bad.
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