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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      Some headlines used the phrasing that Russia "targeted" all 50 states. Of course "targeting" is an amorphous weasel word. Some of this "targeting" included simple, routine "scanning" of public-facing websites, which states only noticed after the Feds issued a panicked warningpic.twitter.com/srCpCZSI8U

      8 replies 60 retweets 215 likes
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    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      NYT and others blared the headline, "All 50 states were targeted by Russia in 2016," but this state says "they have seen no evidence of scanning or attack attempts related to state-wide election infrastructure in 2016." Did anyone even bother to read the report?pic.twitter.com/ViATryNoWd

      13 replies 102 retweets 275 likes
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    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      The "targeting" that we're all supposed to be up-in-arms about consisted of "pinging" public websites, which happens constantly all day everyday. That's why local officials barely took note of it. Only after the "Russian interference" narrative was introduced did anyone carepic.twitter.com/YzB1cAGuop

      10 replies 97 retweets 259 likes
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    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      Of course huge sections of the report are redacted so we may never know what this mysterious "unexplained event" was 🙄pic.twitter.com/sdrM0juk8c

      14 replies 50 retweets 218 likes
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    5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      In one instance, a malware "attack" initially assumed to be the Russian government was later assessed to be non-Russian criminal activity. This stuff, like so much else with the broader Russia narrative, is confirmation bias run amokpic.twitter.com/4GDubFXgLT

      17 replies 127 retweets 333 likes
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    6. Kevin Poulsen‏Verified account @kpoulsen Jul 28
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      Replying to @mtracey

      Revising your assessment based on new evidence is literally the opposite of confirmation bias.

      4 replies 2 retweets 16 likes
    7. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      Replying to @kpoulsen

      The initial assessment presuming the Russian government to be culpable was obvious indicia of confirmation bias, but thanks for the pedantic clarification.

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    8. Kevin Poulsen‏Verified account @kpoulsen Jul 28
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      Replying to @mtracey

      "The FBI could not confirm the attack was tied to the Russian government." That initial assessment? Anyway, no. Beginning with a refutable presumption, then testing and refuting it, is only evidence of confirmation bias on Opposite Day.

      3 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
    9. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      Replying to @kpoulsen

      Beginning with an assumption of Russian culpability is confirmation bias. Just because the assumption was later refuted doesn't negate the initial assumption being reflective of confirmation bias, fueled by the broader unsubstantiated Russia paranoia.

      2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
    10. Kevin Poulsen‏Verified account @kpoulsen Jul 28
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      Replying to @mtracey

      No. Forming an initial theory from a broader context is not "confirmation bias". Confirmation bias specifically refers to an unwillingness to revise one's views in the face of contravening evidence.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jul 28
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      Replying to @kpoulsen

      No. Confirmation bias refers to the tendency to interpret new evidence as confirmation of one's existing beliefs. The existing belief in Russian interference caused an initial assumption of Russian culpability. The belief was later refuted, but it was borne of confirmation bias.

      7:45 PM - 28 Jul 2019
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        2. Kevin Poulsen‏Verified account @kpoulsen Jul 28
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I'm afraid not. That might be true if the FBI and DHS used the criminal attack on State 4 as evidence that the attacks in other states were the Russian government. But that's not what the report describes.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Kevin Poulsen‏Verified account @kpoulsen Jul 28
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          Replying to @kpoulsen @mtracey

          They considered Russia a suspect (quite reasonably), but made clear they did not yet have evidence to make an attribution. When they developed that evidence and it pointed to a different actor, they said so. In this case, at least, they did what we want investigators to do.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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