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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jun 5
    • Report Tweet

    This poll result alone is going to keep the mega-donors flocking to Biden. Recall, Trump over-performed in the Midwest in 2016 relative to previous GOP nominees, but he under-performed significantly in Texas. Trump won Ohio by roughly the same margin (8.13%) as he did TX (8.99%)pic.twitter.com/50o2k4bs2w

    10:51 AM - 5 Jun 2019
    • 19 Retweets
    • 51 Likes
    • Bonaparte CHRIS PRUNER Lothrop Stoddard Avid Commentator 🇦🇺 Peter Tobias ru$$ g lewis russian asset okeeheepkee Jake Mercier J C
    47 replies 19 retweets 51 likes
      1. John Schreiber  ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️‏ @JohnSchreiber8 Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        This poll result should cause sane people to ignore polls.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Milos Lazarevic  ⭐ ⭐ ⭐‏ @miloslazaNBG22 Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Quinnipiac is the worst pollster there is, they consistently overpoll Democrats by at least 10%.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. David‏ @thawildbunch Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        And who believes this? Seriously.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. IronPiedmont1996  🧢  🇺🇸‏ @piedmont1996 Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        And they want Joe Biden? He's nothing more than DNC leftovers. I prefer someone like Andrew Yang or Tulsi Gabbard.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Hlazard‏ @Hlazard4 Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        But will Biden survive the debates ? My guess is no.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Hero of the 7 Galaxies‏ @HeroGalaxies Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        These polls that people discounted right before Trump won are not being considered the "Gold Standard" now that it shows Biden winning? Rediculous.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Ted Carroll‏ @mediainvestors Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        And that unfortunately, Michael, is apparently the point. Check the party weighting then remember @Rasmussen_Poll weights it’s Likely Voters based polls currently D 37, R 33, Ind 30 or D+4. Anything under R 33 is suspect.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Ted Carroll‏ @mediainvestors Jun 5
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        Replying to @mediainvestors @mtracey @Rasmussen_Poll

        Should have noted that is national political party weighting - Texas state definitely will be different.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Aslan Egia  🎃 ☮️ 🌺‏ @AslanEgia Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Changing demographics do make things closer than they used to be, but it'll probably be at least another decade before we actually see Texas turning blue.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. DURTY Wordsmith‏ @durtyshotz Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        I don’t always question polls but I seriously question this one. Sadly enough for polls I think it’s extremely hard to poll trump voters.

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      1. younis zubchevich‏ @youzoob Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Look I worry about Texas given immigration and Llibimmgration from Cali. Honestly though, in 2016, the polls were tight and growing tighter between Hillary and @realDonaldTrump The polls are in the pollsters, no?

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      2. Jake Barnett‏ @barnettjake Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Hopefully not the same people that were polling for Beto against Ted Cruz.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Greg Wiesemann‏ @Greg_Wiesemann Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @barnettjake @mtracey

        I would trust that poll the same as I would trust the US exit polls of 2004 or the US polling of 2016, the polling of Israel in 2019.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Karl Cardona‏ @Karl_Cardona7 Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Remember, Hillary and her crowd were saying she might win Texas too....it didn't happen. Still lost by 9 points.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. James M. Ray  💎‏ @Jamesmiltonray Jun 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        This one doesn't even try to hide it...https://reason.com/2018/10/18/nonpartisan-pollsters-are-basically-doin?fbclid=IwAR2hLYPB8YN7OCbMPdk4LSSBuZjPxBHf84yngQw-iJQRnbj5mmBI2UFMXK8 …

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      1. JustASlice‏ @AmericanAsPie Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Yes, but this time, he's running with a record. Dems have no chance.

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      1. DocBunyan‏ @DocBunyan Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Candidates need to campaign in the swing states in the midwest. The other states are already predetermined. Trump could say he hates the Cowboys and they would still vote for him.

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      1. John White‏ @JJWhit2020 Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        I don’t believe it.

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      1. Tom Power‏ @TomPower3 Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Don’t forget that Democratic support is pouring in from the South of Texas. Hint: it rhymes with Texaco.

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      1. Capablanca‏ @CAPABLANCA_92 Jun 5
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Texas* * Texas = Austin bars and vegan restaurants.

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