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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jun 4
      • Report Tweet

      Michael Tracey Retweeted Steve Kornacki

      A lot fewer people dislike Biden than Hillary and that's a major electoral asset for him. Another reason why lazy equivalences of the two are so misguided, just from an analytical standpointhttps://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1136088681465466880 …

      Michael Tracey added,

      Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki
      Biden is at 46-38% favorable/unfavorable with all voters in the the new CNN poll. Comparing his trend now with Hillary's four years ago as her campaign geared up.... Biden 5/31/19 46-38% 4/25/19 51-39% 12/9/18 54-29% Clinton 5/31/15 46-50% 3/15/15 53-44% 11/23/14 59-38%
      Show this thread
      25 replies 14 retweets 71 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jun 4
      • Report Tweet

      Hillary favorable/unfavorable: 5/31/15 46-50% Biden favorable/unfavorable: 5/31/19 46-38% Both near-universally known at the time. So there's not going to be a ton of malleability in their favorability ratings. Maybe a bit around the margins, but it's mostly baked in.

      10:18 PM - 4 Jun 2019
      • 12 Retweets
      • 34 Likes
      • lib ownership society, esq. Rajesh Panday Pat Connors Rancidius " Maximus Putridious " Potatodopoulos Galo Vasco Deplorable Minnesotan! Jake Mercier Dave Котомкин-Портянский
      9 replies 12 retweets 34 likes
        1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Jun 4
          • Report Tweet

          CNN poll showed Hillary at 52% unfavorable by Oct. 2016, the final poll of the campaign. Not a statistically significant movement over the span of nearly 1.5 years. Biden's unfavorability "floor" appears to be much lower. Which suggests he'd be a stronger candidate than Hillary

          35 replies 9 retweets 34 likes
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        1. juancho carranchinho 🏳️‍🌈 🌳 🐝 🇨🇴‏ @juand0wnt0wn Jun 4
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Big difference is that Biden didn't do much as a VP but Hillary was very active and vocal implementing horrendous foreign policy. Biden's name may be "universally known" but not his horrible policies (not yet). Hillary's horrible policies on the other were "universally known".

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Policywonk‏ @jiminyjobbers55 Jun 4
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          Replying to @mtracey

          THAT IS NOT HOW YOU ANALYZE THIS DATA MICHAEL OH MY GODD

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Timothy, The Angry Homo‏ @ncanarchist Jun 5
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          Replying to @mtracey

          People know of Hillary's foreign policy, they don't know Biden's so you could compare him to Trump. There is nothing to compare him to Hillary.

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        1. notaboomer‏ @shrubfree Jun 4
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Dude Hillary ran a very high profile presidential campaign in 08 v Obama & barely lost. Her positions were out in the open way before 16 election. Biden’s horrible record is unknown to tons of voters.

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        1. No Way‏ @gamerdave69 Jun 4
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          Replying to @mtracey

          12% here is not significant especially if this is not just Democratic voters. Clinton's numbers over a two year period moved more than the difference between her and Biden. And if Rs are being polled, Clinton was absolutely hated by Rs, and they don't vote for Democrats.

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        1. AverageAmerican‏ @ReallyTrumpFan Jun 5
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Not sure about all this M. T. Biden is getting a lot of neg. coverage from Bernie bros. And he'll be running against Trump's four year record, which does not include nuclear war with North Korea or Russian collusion.

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