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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 27
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      The legendary sabermetrician Bill James has his own presidential tracking poll and is convinced that Bernie will collapse. I don't understand the methodology but it's at least worth keeping an eye on. Bill James just won the Red Sox another World Series! https://www.billjamesonline.com/poll_report_may_26/ …pic.twitter.com/uvmxQBHMzk

      15 replies 12 retweets 24 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 27
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      Should go without saying that Bill James could be totally wrong. But I like to consume information from a variety of statisticians, journalists, etc. using differing methodologies. Because there's a ton of fluidity in the electorate right now, making it difficult to gauge

      4:27 AM - 27 May 2019
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      • Jeremy Lykins Scott Stark doc durango Pat Connors Doktor Paul Bullen Diodorus Samuel D Benson JDS rainman
      12 replies 4 retweets 27 likes
        1. Brad Stahl‏ @bmstahl May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I haven’t studied his method, but is it based primarily on his Twitter polls he puts up between four candidates? If so, I wonder if his Twitter follower sample is representative of voters at all. Most of us follow him for baseball reasons.

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        1. Space Force Admiral- ✝️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️‏ @GLoves247 May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I'd put more confidence in a professional handicapper of his status, than most polls these days. When these guys are wrong it hurts their bottom line. Such an interesting person to follow Michael, keep us informed. ☮️

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        1. Noise Trader Capital‏ @NegDiscountRt May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          When can we expect a Greenwald-Tracey ticket? 2024?

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        1. Fred Mertz‏ @Fred5471 May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          he's right about the polling being abysmal, but that may not get too much better. people under 50 are still being undersampled, as they were in 2016

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        1.  🚢Redboat‏ @edsredboat May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Bill James is just about as accurate in his punditry on 2020 as you are. Lol

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        1. Dennis Anderson‏ @neoliberalslayr May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Need to think about exit strategy (from US) if Bernie comes up short. Don’t want to be anywhere near final stages of empire collapse with a Caligula like figure via either party.

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        1. rhondo alameda‏ @Chaospress32 May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I get that the odds are against Bernie, as in fact they are against every one of the other 83 candidates- even Biden, but this statement sounds like total bullshit to me. No real reasoning behind it either; it’s essentially a statement of opinion.

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        1. Augustus753‏ @Mr_Doodles753 May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Unlike a lot of journos these days, seems you remember that one can seek exposure to ideas and analyze them without necessarily supporting or being persuaded by them.

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        1. Cor_auri‏ @auri_cor May 27
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The only thing one need know abt polls. See 2016.

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