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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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      Trump fans and perhaps Trump himself are being smugly over-confident if they assume impeachment will automatically redound to his political benefit. "Base" will be emboldened, but Trump needs more than 30% of the vote to win re-election. Unclear how that next 15-20% will react

      51 replies 21 retweets 65 likes
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    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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      You could imagine a scenario where some portion of the 15-20% of "soft Trump" voters become fatigued by all the drama, assign blame partially to Trump, and just want to move on, which means voting for his opponent -- even if they don't fully approve of Congressional Dems' tactics

      17 replies 6 retweets 30 likes
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    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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      And again, the Clinton impeachment is not a good precedent here. Yes, Clinton got marginally more popular afterwards, but the impeachment occurred after he was re-elected and this would be a substantially different set of circumstances. (Also, uh, Bush won the 2000 election)

      18 replies 10 retweets 34 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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      Just as Trump's "base" will be energized by impeachment proceedings, so will the Dem "base," which is extremely active right now (as evidenced by, among other things, historic turnout in the 2018 midterms). Anyone who claims they know exactly how this plays out is blowing smoke

      4:50 AM - 22 May 2019
      • 11 Retweets
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      • John Fresh Hrothgar the Norman Pearl Jolly ⏳ Bernie/Nina 2020 🌹 Seth Stevens 🛸 Philip Storch skot Brian Cairns Stacey
      20 replies 11 retweets 40 likes
        1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Congrats to Dems winning Dem dominated states by a larger margin than what Clinton won them by. Again, presidential elections are not won by PV but by EV.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. Taylor Haskins‏ @taylorhaskins May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          ...and this is why Dems will not impeach, bc they don't do anything simply on principle, only for political benefit. They can't be sure of any political benefit from impeachment, so they just won't do it (period)

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        1. Robert R. Freitag II‏ @freitag_ii May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I just don't see the general, unaffiliated public getting excited by this. I think this will only increase the sense of malaise and cynicism with the system's operation.

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        1. ReadyPlayer2112‏ @RPlayer2112 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          And you know all about blowing smoke

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        1. Luke A‏ @realLukeMurray May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Name ONE person who claims to know how this will play out. Just 1 Michael...

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        1. Apocalypse‏ @HackandSlash77 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I think it doesn't matter because once all the info comes out with FISA abuse and the OIG report, impeachment won't even be talked about anymore. They'd look pretty stupid and involved if they'd continue.

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        1. villadifrid‏ @villadifrid May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Don’t underestimate the power of “blowing smoke”. Trump does it exceptionally well.

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        1. Berlin.AlexanderPlatz‏ @WillMcJ May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          And the biggest factor of all, which you haven't even mentioned: the economy. This president happens to be in the process of escalating a trade war, likely to accelerate descent into recession, all while he's trying to disarms his Fed from addressing it. Highly unstable situat.

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        1. Joe Skonezny‏ @Joesko May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          22 trillion. Foreign wars, we hit all the big subjects in Congress.

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        2. PrometheusIV‏ @PrometheusIV May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          All of this is good, but you have left out some key factors. 1) Candice Owens and her campaign to convert Democrats is growing. 2) IG & DOJ investigations will devastate Dem Party when targets and co-conspirators are indicted. 3) More support of Trump not visible by polls.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. PrometheusIV‏ @PrometheusIV May 22
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          Replying to @PrometheusIV @mtracey

          4) There is a lot of skeletons which have yet to have surfaced for Dem candidates. I.E. Biden and son are radioactive due to Ukraine. We have yet to see what will be dug up by other presidential candidates, but RNC will bring up anything they miss after the Primaries.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. LifeLiberty&Pursuit‏ @mathewlenning May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          You’re making the same mistake that was made in 2016. The only thing that’s changed is people know now Trump will actually follow through on most of his campaign promises. He’s getting four more years

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        1. Capablanca‏ @CAPABLANCA_92 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I think a better analogy is the Scott Walker recall. Many moderates and independents voted against recall based on “he should be allowed to finish his term.” The Dems are clearly trying to recall Trump. I think it works against them. Net negative.

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        1. Wildfire‏ @Wildfire197503 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Historic turnouts from illegal aliens and "dead" people voting.

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        1. Dawn‏ @dented__halo May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The Democrats won 2018 on promises.....6 months in and they have done ZERO.....

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        1. DEEP STATE PAYBACK‏ @DeepPayback May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Yes, but it will fail in the Senate- so, what’s the point

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