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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
      • Report Tweet

      Trump fans and perhaps Trump himself are being smugly over-confident if they assume impeachment will automatically redound to his political benefit. "Base" will be emboldened, but Trump needs more than 30% of the vote to win re-election. Unclear how that next 15-20% will react

      51 replies 21 retweets 65 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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      You could imagine a scenario where some portion of the 15-20% of "soft Trump" voters become fatigued by all the drama, assign blame partially to Trump, and just want to move on, which means voting for his opponent -- even if they don't fully approve of Congressional Dems' tactics

      4:40 AM - 22 May 2019
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      • WestAustinAg Matt 201314 Jhonny Utahh Rob Jaron Gubernick🧢 CtHorseFarmer⏳ skipper 🇧🇷 Halton Hui
      17 replies 6 retweets 30 likes
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        2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
          • Report Tweet

          And again, the Clinton impeachment is not a good precedent here. Yes, Clinton got marginally more popular afterwards, but the impeachment occurred after he was re-elected and this would be a substantially different set of circumstances. (Also, uh, Bush won the 2000 election)

          18 replies 10 retweets 34 likes
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        3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 22
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          Just as Trump's "base" will be energized by impeachment proceedings, so will the Dem "base," which is extremely active right now (as evidenced by, among other things, historic turnout in the 2018 midterms). Anyone who claims they know exactly how this plays out is blowing smoke

          20 replies 11 retweets 40 likes
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        4. End of conversation
        1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          You can also say the same for Dem voters.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Jaron Gubernick 🧢‏ @JaronGubernick May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This is especially plausible if #Democrats select a candidate who is also able to appeal to #Conservatives, cutting Trump's base out from underneath him. A candidate like @AndrewYang.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzksqTu9UY4 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. james murray‏ @jamesmurray69 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Allows Trump to yet again 'run against the establishment.'

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. AnonSidious‏ @AnonSidious May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This is what i have been seeing. They have america on slow boil so this is what will happen exactly. Foster the the thinking "anyone but him, stop all this negativity'

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        1. History repeats‏ @Madmaxmaccabee May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This is why I'd like to see @NikkiHaley throw her hat in the ring. I'm suffering from Trump tweet fatigue.

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        1. APK‏ @dlarkr_ May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This case is highly contingent on who the dem nomination is. Warren, Harris, Booker, Beto are all non starters. We've yet to see how relatable biden is to the soft trumpers

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        1. AlFromBayShore‏ @AlFromBayShore May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I'm hoping SpyGate indictments happen at the same time as impeachment proceedings only because I'm curious as to how the electorate will respond. Getting my popcorn ready for late summer of 2020!

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        1. Matt‏ @mmpqqq May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          declassification will be the real counter punch.

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        1. Charles Saporito‏ @cvsjr002 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Most people are over it, the Dems look like they are badgering Trump. Twitter is not realistic.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Verdad Teller  ❌‏ @Truthteller1349 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This is true. I spoke to one independent who is fatigued and believes if someone else was president, all the drama would stop. I told her, "are we going to let the media's manufactured hysteria now control who becomes president?". It left her thinking.

          1 reply 3 retweets 4 likes
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        1. Carla Lore‏ @CarlaQLore1 May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I was reading Schiffs feed yesterday and it seems like HIS party is getting tired of his 'all talk and no action ' approach. Not very many positive responses.

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        1. Calls Out Both Sides‏ @callsout2sides May 22
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          Replying to @mtracey

          It's about turnout.

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