Trump fans and perhaps Trump himself are being smugly over-confident if they assume impeachment will automatically redound to his political benefit. "Base" will be emboldened, but Trump needs more than 30% of the vote to win re-election. Unclear how that next 15-20% will react
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And again, the Clinton impeachment is not a good precedent here. Yes, Clinton got marginally more popular afterwards, but the impeachment occurred after he was re-elected and this would be a substantially different set of circumstances. (Also, uh, Bush won the 2000 election)
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Just as Trump's "base" will be energized by impeachment proceedings, so will the Dem "base," which is extremely active right now (as evidenced by, among other things, historic turnout in the 2018 midterms). Anyone who claims they know exactly how this plays out is blowing smoke
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You can also say the same for Dem voters.
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This is especially plausible if
#Democrats select a candidate who is also able to appeal to#Conservatives, cutting Trump's base out from underneath him. A candidate like@AndrewYang.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzksqTu9UY4 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Allows Trump to yet again 'run against the establishment.'
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This is what i have been seeing. They have america on slow boil so this is what will happen exactly. Foster the the thinking "anyone but him, stop all this negativity'
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This is why I'd like to see
@NikkiHaley throw her hat in the ring. I'm suffering from Trump tweet fatigue.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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This case is highly contingent on who the dem nomination is. Warren, Harris, Booker, Beto are all non starters. We've yet to see how relatable biden is to the soft trumpers
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I'm hoping SpyGate indictments happen at the same time as impeachment proceedings only because I'm curious as to how the electorate will respond. Getting my popcorn ready for late summer of 2020!
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declassification will be the real counter punch.
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Most people are over it, the Dems look like they are badgering Trump. Twitter is not realistic.
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This is true. I spoke to one independent who is fatigued and believes if someone else was president, all the drama would stop. I told her, "are we going to let the media's manufactured hysteria now control who becomes president?". It left her thinking.
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I was reading Schiffs feed yesterday and it seems like HIS party is getting tired of his 'all talk and no action ' approach. Not very many positive responses.
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It's about turnout.
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