TYT + Cenk are just totally and embarrassingly wrong about this. Their original segment falsely claimed that a CNN poll showing Biden up was "biased" because it oversampled "septuagenarians." Trying to "unskew polls" invariably makes you look really stupidhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bppXajlK20 …
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This doesn't mean that
@NateSilver538 is above criticism. Some of his predictions and pundit-style analysis has been really dumb, and I've criticized it. But on these pure methodological questions, he's generally correct. And I say this as someone who has been trolled by Nate!Show this thread -
CNN, the same entity they're now claiming is putting out polls to undermine Bernie, accurately predicted Bernie's margin of victory in the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Primary. Final result: Sanders 60% Clinton 38%pic.twitter.com/bYXuPIAIUK
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Have you actually read their methodology, ascertained the validity of using the samples size they used, determined whether their sampling was geographically or age biased, what their previous record on polling has been.. etc?
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If all polls are using 2016 data to weight 2019 polling of course they will all come to the same conclusion. This is why they are garbage and why Biden doesn't have 20-30 point lead over Sanders. Again 10 points at most.
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Biden is loved by tv news & the sheep follow-but it won't last. The times have changed & Biden represents the Past.
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Let me be clear, Biden is a serious contender- especially given his support among older white establishment democrat voters. However, that does not translate into the suspicious numbers pimped by those "polling" outfits.
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