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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 17
    • Report Tweet

    TYT + Cenk are just totally and embarrassingly wrong about this. Their original segment falsely claimed that a CNN poll showing Biden up was "biased" because it oversampled "septuagenarians." Trying to "unskew polls" invariably makes you look really stupidhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bppXajlK20 …

    10:00 AM - 17 May 2019
    • 12 Retweets
    • 73 Likes
    • Mary Riley @LeWolfczu Laura LeLoup Wolf ✝️🇺🇸❌ Jeff Tidwell The Leopard In The Basement Is A Stupid Name QC nick Spooky Connor Jackson 👻 melpiddy You Have Nothing Interesting to Say Bogdan Mendryshora
    25 replies 12 retweets 73 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 17
        • Report Tweet

        This isn't even so much a political issue; it's an empirical and methodological issue. There are plenty of legitimate criticisms of Biden, to dwell on allegedly "biased" and "skewed" polls because you don't like that he's ahead is self-defeating and ridiculous. Just stop.

        8 replies 5 retweets 26 likes
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      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 17
        • Report Tweet

        Many other polls with varied methodologies have replicated the finding of the CNN poll that TYT claimed was somehow maliciously twisted to disfavor Bernie. It's ridiculous, and self-defeating because YOU are actually the one giving viewers a "skewed" picture of the race.

        6 replies 3 retweets 22 likes
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      4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 17
        • Report Tweet

        This doesn't mean that @NateSilver538 is above criticism. Some of his predictions and pundit-style analysis has been really dumb, and I've criticized it. But on these pure methodological questions, he's generally correct. And I say this as someone who has been trolled by Nate!

        6 replies 6 retweets 35 likes
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      5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 17
        • Report Tweet

        CNN, the same entity they're now claiming is putting out polls to undermine Bernie, accurately predicted Bernie's margin of victory in the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Primary. Final result: Sanders 60% Clinton 38%pic.twitter.com/bYXuPIAIUK

        11 replies 7 retweets 15 likes
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      6. End of conversation
      1. PharmaHeretic‏ @Pharmaheretic May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Those polls did oversample older people living in suburbs with landlines.. and ya, it was likely intentional, just like polls from 2016 deliberately oversampled suburban white women. This is one the few instances where Cenk got it right..

        0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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      1. Harry Worth‏ @rwkd May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I'm not buying it, the cnn poll over-sampled over 45 yr olds, traditionally they vote more but under 45's are more politicised than ever now

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. William Hearn‏ @william_hearn May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I think people are talking about the oversampling. See the recent Emerson poll for a better samplinghttps://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. William Hearn‏ @william_hearn May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @william_hearn @mtracey

        Though I find polls confusing so maybe I’m wrong but thought would mention 🙂

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. 2 more replies
      1. Idontlikesand 🇨🇦‏ @dopeschemes May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Polls mean nothing before any debates take place. Why are early polls even a conversation?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Jerry “Stochastic” Mander‏ @bleeker185 May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Chunk is foggy from learning about Armenian genocide

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. oobilly‏ @oobilly1 May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        hehe stopped watching after the primaries. You, I took longer to figure out. Saw there was brilliance..but unknown office politics were in effect. Glad you are free Micheal !

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Jeremy‏ @progressiveJem May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @Cibhleachain @mtracey

        Just watch the TYT video It’s all included

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Vladimir Groyper  🇸🇾‏ @Erebosq May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I find it fascinating how it took you so long to realize Cenk is probably the most tribal & dishonest media personality under the sun.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. George Cee‏ @MrGeorgeCee May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Biden = Trump 2nd Term

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. pamela lewis  ⏳‏ @ampay May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        pamela lewis  ⏳ Retweeted Nate's Liver - Commentary

        https://twitter.com/silerabbit/status/1129466921458364416?s=21 …

        pamela lewis  ⏳ added,

        Nate's Liver - Commentary @SilERabbit
        Analysis that Joe Biden has a millennial and gen-x problem frames the situation incorrectly. If Biden wins the nomination, Democrats can finally stop their veiled attempts at appealing to anyone under 65. Good riddance. The elderly are the future.
        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Amil‏ @amilh May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        They're talking past each other. @NateSilver538 is saying CNN uses estimations to cover for their limited polling data. @cenk is clinging to the fact that CNN didn't have a statistically significant sample for younger people.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Keep Punching Up‏ @Truth_OverT May 17
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Michael man, you're really on this. I don't get it. The point isn't the methodology. The point is how deceiving this sort of thing is. It is pushed in the mainstream as something it is not. If pundits were honest about the oversampling, the outrage wouldn't be as strong.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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