The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate
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I can only speak for myself but it’s fairly black and white. The polls are undersampling voters under 40 (Bernie’s strongest demo) and oversampling 50+. Whatever the reason they do this is opinion—I doubt it’s sinister—My guess is laziness and also not adapting to NEW voting
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Trends (not accurate to still say we’re representing traditional turnout for these age groups when the younger one in particular has has record turnout in 2016 and 2018). But what IS untoward and deceitful on the part of ALL of these pollsters (and the networks and papers) is
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Mr. Tracey - was the CNN poll in question the one that - according to CNNs only report - radically undersampled everyone under 50? They did this same thing in the previous primary.
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I'd say the problem is not necessarily the method, but that it's being pushed as something else. "Biden is up on Bernie by this much!" Well... not exactly. And isn't this the biggest issue with media? Lying by omission, or, pushing a skewed reality?
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You haven't offered a single fact or a specific defense of CNN's methodology. Not here, not now. I've heard the wind blow before, and now I'm hearing it again. You seem to say honorably fix, massage a failed sampling. Instead of doing it right the first time.
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Imagine if the silent majority actually voted instead of feeling totally disenfranchised.pic.twitter.com/J54fGpjnpt
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I object to whatever method he used to arrive at the conclusion Hillary has a 99% win chance on election day.
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The Young Turks is an exercise in motivated reasoning.
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