Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

Tweets

Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

Tweets

  • © 2019 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
      • Report Tweet

      The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate

      55 replies 24 retweets 152 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
      • Report Tweet

      Nate is mostly reliable when he’s talking about the pure mechanics of polling, models, and related methodological stuff. He gets dumb when he’s just opining pundit-style on random stuff

      25 replies 14 retweets 160 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton May 15
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mtracey

      Not sure which poll TYT’s segment is referencing but I have reported previously on CNN’s polling that oversampled 50+ by a significant margin—which is deceptive considering 2016 & 2018 saw record number of young peoppe voting.

      2 replies 2 retweets 38 likes
    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @JordanChariton

      CNN "weights" younger voters in the sample because they don't answer the phone at the same rates as older voters. It doesn't mean the poll is being maliciously skewed to harm Bernie. This whole "unskew the polls" business has always been ridiculous.

      7 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
    5. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton May 15
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mtracey

      Regardless of the reason CNN or others undersample younger voters—they don’t answer the phone or they simply don’t attempt to have an equal distribution—is irrelevant. If you’re using the poll to give the most accurate, contextual representation of the electorate...especially of

      2 replies 4 retweets 29 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @JordanChariton

      They adjust the sample to account for the proportional underrepresentation of young voters. So younger voters are accurately accounted for in the methodology of the poll. Every other poll also showed Biden getting a significant boost after he announced. This is really silly..

      4:11 PM - 15 May 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 7 Likes
      • Vilorik Nilovich William Zelin AnechoicMedia felio77 🇺🇸 Alex Blair Kay Halton Hui
      8 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
        1. Elizabeth Warren (fake)‏ @EWarenn May 15
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

          The Emerson poll that actually has young people represented has the race much closer.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        1. iRAQ‏ @roots4bernie May 15
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

          To juice up establishment brands like HRC, Biden, etc. you poll registered voters rather than likely voters. Easy way to gin up their #s. RV vs. LV in RCP.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
        1. kstarskstars‏ @kstarskstars1 May 15
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

          Am I the only one who has been told that Biden is a forgone conclusion? That’s Orwellian. I got this information from trolls trolling presidential candidates Twitter account. I hope Bernie gets a bump now that he has been Getting people to vote who wouldn’t otherwise do so.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
        1. New conversation
        2. Barnaby Tudbubble‏ @BTudbubble May 15
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

          If you undersample sufficiently your poll cannot be corrected and is just wrong- your sample size is insufficient. CNN itself put "N/A" next to the sample size information for people under 50 in this poll. You cant correct a poll with insufficient sample size to be valid.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. 2 more replies
        1. K.G.B. COLONEL‏ @django_stiglitz May 15
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

          source?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2019 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info