The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate
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Objecting to how media frames or emphasizes polling is perfectly fair: i've done it many times, and will continue to do so. But making specious claims about the methodology because it doesn't produce the outcome you want is just stupid. Motivated reasoning in action
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Not sure which poll TYT’s segment is referencing but I have reported previously on CNN’s polling that oversampled 50+ by a significant margin—which is deceptive considering 2016 & 2018 saw record number of young peoppe voting.
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CNN "weights" younger voters in the sample because they don't answer the phone at the same rates as older voters. It doesn't mean the poll is being maliciously skewed to harm Bernie. This whole "unskew the polls" business has always been ridiculous.
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Sure, he killed it with predictions in 2016.
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Yes. Nate's quality analysis blew everyone else out of the water in 2016. It was well explained and documented and much, much more accurate and predictive than any other source of election news and analysis.
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I'd say his polling and opining are one and the same.
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So.. what about his prediction for a Hillary landslide?
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You must be thinking about Sate Nilver
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Polling is absolutely unreliable. It borders on junk science
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Indeed.
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Silver routinely used skewed sampling in 2016.
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...nah. You're really defending CNN and Nate Silver? Numbers have their place but he's obviously biased.
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Rain Man should stay in his lane.
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... or predicting political elections.
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That 2016 polling was spot wrong.
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The polling was mediocre, but Nate's analysis was spot on, though.
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Granted. But how is polling 65% over 50 legit? Am I wrong here???
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lol. Nate is a hack who knows how to spin garbage polls because we have given him too much authority in polling.
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You think he has no bias to what he does? Ha ha ha ha. Polls are now like journalism. Money pollutes it all and buys what it needs. Pollsters tell their patrons what they want to hear.
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