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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
    • Report Tweet

    The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate

    3:02 PM - 15 May 2019
    • 24 Retweets
    • 152 Likes
    • The Indomitable Id Reactionary Might ✝️ Lothrop Stoddard Pavel Velkovsky Mel Zidek Pat Connors skipper 🇧🇷 Trevor.RN Colin Orr
    55 replies 24 retweets 152 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
        • Report Tweet

        Nate is mostly reliable when he’s talking about the pure mechanics of polling, models, and related methodological stuff. He gets dumb when he’s just opining pundit-style on random stuff

        25 replies 14 retweets 160 likes
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      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 15
        • Report Tweet

        Objecting to how media frames or emphasizes polling is perfectly fair: i've done it many times, and will continue to do so. But making specious claims about the methodology because it doesn't produce the outcome you want is just stupid. Motivated reasoning in action

        8 replies 6 retweets 42 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1.  🙌🏿 𝔹𝔼ℝℕ𝕀𝔼 🌹𝟚𝟘𝟚𝟘  🙌🏽‏ @WeBernTogether May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Its right there in the datapic.twitter.com/SZNUMimeEm

        0 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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      1. Bob_the_Berner_1988‏ @BernerBob May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Going off the rails for a while buddy.

        0 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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      1. CC‏ @ccpolitics123 May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Link to the segment?

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. William Davis‏ @WDaltonDavis May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Many other progressive shows reported the EXACT same issue with the CNN poll.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Send Her Back‏ @allidoisgetpaid May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Nate blew the entire 2016 election. Might not be true in this case but it's very easy to manipulate samples to get the polling result that is desired.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Русский Алоха бот‏ @justinjurgens May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        They oversampled over 50, just like Dems were oversampled in 16. I don't trust this dude, seems to be a pro-establishment slant to everything he does.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Tilin Tilin‏ @Progressive1gal May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Ahhh and your Bernie bashing continues...Now the CNN polling is right...

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Bernie squad member‏ @GeminiWahhaj May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        .The CNN poll was landlines only, mostly people over 50, likely dem voters. That is skewed.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Ninma 🌹‏ @Ninma_ May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        They need to poll the population properly: age, race, income etc. Anyone not calling that out is blinding themselves to reality.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Anna D‏ @Flos_ad_mare May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @Ninma_ @mtracey

        Or ( as it is difficult to get young people and minorities to respond) they need to break out the margin or error by group AND bring the weighting in to effect their overall margin or error, which Nate said they do not do. Also..SHARE THE ACTUAL NUMBERS IN YOUR CROSS TABS @CNN !

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Griddle Actual‏ @JimmyGriddle May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Least-Popular LOTR Character: Nate the Sassy Troll

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Jonah Thawne‏ @Jonah_Thawne May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        pic.twitter.com/2SIaML77L4

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1.  🌹Third Degree Bern #WomenForBernie‏ @BernThird May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I can see all the brainwashing tactics at work on this one

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Anna D‏ @Flos_ad_mare May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I think that in Nate's podcast he himself down played the effect that weighting low numbers has on the margin of error. This isn't accounted for in the general margin of error and should be noted, otherwise the impression given is one of greater accuracy that is reality.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Morning in America‏ @BasedDJTrump May 15
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Is that beyond CNN?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Lawrence Magnuson‏ @ElmagnotheFinn May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Well then it must be true. Let me try one: 'The moon is made of green cheese.' I have included the same number of facts as you. Therefore, it's true. So bring crackers.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1.  🇦🇼Yairo Martis 🌹 ⏳ 🇻🇪 🇫🇷‏ @YairoMartis May 15
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        pic.twitter.com/r2L41RBgIz

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      1. Anna D‏ @Flos_ad_mare May 15
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        Replying to @mtracey

        "sassy trolling" 😂

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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