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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      And another advantage I forgot to mention in the piece: Biden recently shut down his personal "foundation," which was nowhere near the scope of the Clinton Foundation -- which the Clintons refused to shut down in 2016, leading to (accurate) accusations of nepotism and corruption

      24 replies 21 retweets 154 likes
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    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      It’s amazing to me how quick people are to scream that I’m somehow “shilling” for Biden, as if I suddenly decided that I love him and want him to be president. No, I’m just trying to describe the dynamics operative in a Democratic primary. Descriptive vs normative: look it up

      48 replies 24 retweets 232 likes
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    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      Hillary didn't benefit from her association with Obama nearly as much as Biden because 1) she ran against Obama in 2008 and attacked him viciously 2) She wasn't elected twice on the same ticket as Obama, unlike Biden 3) Biden's personal relationship with Obama is much closer

      20 replies 11 retweets 66 likes
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    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      According to a study of Facebook sentiment data in 2014, Biden was the most popular Democrat in the country. The study showed that 67% of the conversation on Facebook about him was positive, far outscoring Hillary on that metrichttps://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/bensmith/the-facebook-election …

      13 replies 6 retweets 23 likes
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    5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      That will probably drop somewhat as he participates in a contentious primary race. But it indicates that the baseline of "positivity" Democrats feel toward him is much higher than Hillary's ever was, which is yet another major strength he possesses relative to Hillary

      26 replies 3 retweets 46 likes
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    6. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      I think pundits really underrate the appeal of returning to "normalcy" for Democratic primary voters. That's been the refrain under Trump: THIS IS NOT NORMAL. How better to restore the "normal" order of things then to nominate the last "normal" president's trusty, avuncular VP?

      30 replies 10 retweets 64 likes
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    7. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      One irony of Biden benefiting greatly from his unparalleled association with Obama is that the operatives, lobbyists, and consultants who comprise "Obama World" didn't particularly want him to run. They largely ranged from agnostic to hostile. Interesting dynamic to keep in mind

      13 replies 14 retweets 88 likes
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    8. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      Also note that I am NOT saying Bernie has no chance, or that Biden is somehow a shoe-in for the nomination. I still think Bernie has many unique strengths and is well-positioned to win in a lot of ways. My purpose is to outline the dynamics that could give rise to a Biden victory

      24 replies 9 retweets 66 likes
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    9. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      Good item here illustrating the unique value of the Vice Presidency in equipping candidates to obtain their Party's nomination, and why Biden's two previous failed runs are basically irrelevant now. Accords with the reasoning I laid out in my essay http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/dont-sell-bidens-vice-presidential-experience-short/ …pic.twitter.com/gzMzLDikw5

      12 replies 8 retweets 29 likes
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    10. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      Note in particular that Biden's approval rating was substantially *higher* than Obama's when they left office in 2017. I find it really weird that pundits are so reluctant to acknowledge the obvious political strengths conferred to Biden by the Vice Presidencypic.twitter.com/b1AKRacH24

      18 replies 7 retweets 30 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 11
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      Illustrative piece on the relative coolness of the Obama alumni world toward Biden. Note, not a single one of them is even considering Bernie. (Also note that Obama approved of Biden using Obama's voice in a campaign ad, which is significant)https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-joe-biden-seeks-the-obama-mantle-many-obama-loyalists-wait-to-see-who-lights-a-fire/2019/05/11/6ed9beaa-7322-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html …

      4:22 PM - 11 May 2019
      • 12 Retweets
      • 27 Likes
      • William Zelin Jennifer watch_doge Linda Christensen tantum Natalya Perlov Mike Gates Viktor Samuel (((Péng Dawei))) 🇹🇼
      18 replies 12 retweets 27 likes
        1. Nancy Volle‏ @NancyVolle May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Obama's popularity may diminish if he endorses Biden. Pseudo-feminists attacked Sanders for running against a female candidate.They will want Obama to endorse Harris or Warren. (Never Gabbard because she promotes peace.) Congresswomen will have the same pressure on them.

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        1. Robert R. Freitag II‏ @freitag_ii May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          What are the chances that the unfolding investigation into the misuse of the Steele dossier ends up damaging Obama's legacy, and by extension Biden, even further? Still over a year left for this to cook.

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        1. Secret Squirrel™  🕵️ covertly dispersing nutshells‏ @mjones206 May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Enough! We get it! Biden may not have to cheat at *all* to win. We'll see.

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        1. RouletteWatcher‏ @GeomacroWatcher May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          44 may be liability for POTUS election, but for sure he's only support that matters to get to nomination.

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        1. Hlazard‏ @Hlazard4 May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          If he was ten years younger Biden might have a chance, but when you see him stumble and stammer over phrases his age is showing. HIs health and age is a major issue that will become more apparent during the debates.

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        1. #Bernie/Nina2020 #JC4PM2019‏ @IDIOTdella May 12
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          Replying to @mtracey

          1) Biden isn't the Corrupt DEM Party's Chosen One, Kamala Harris is 2) The CORP Dem will ONLY get the Nomination by committing a Gang-Rape of Democracy on the same level that occurred in 2016, or perhaps more so this time around 3) What'll #OurRevolution do about it this time?

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        1. Reg‏ @lamplight22 May 12
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Thanks for pointing out that we can't take it for granted that all Dems will feel as much disgust for #CreepyJoe as we progressives do. We can't assume that no one will vote for another #clown. We have to work harder to go forward to #M4A, #freecollege, etc #Bernie2020

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        1. John Hawkwood  ☦‏ @JohnHawkwood62 May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          He won't be the nominee. They've put too much into being antiwhite male.

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        1. John Smith  🇺🇲 🇺🇸‏ @JSmithpolitics1 May 11
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Who are they pushing for? Kamala? Valerie Jarrett in this interview didn't seem too enthusiastic about Biden.https://youtu.be/n6qi3nUOrz8 

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        1. AbsolutelyMalcolm‏ @AbsolutelyMalc1 May 12
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          Replying to @mtracey

          but have you watched him speaking the past month? Biden opening his mouth is an enormous liability and he's not going to be able to "folks" his way through the entire primary

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