Example of the impotence of Biden's opposition: today people on Twitter are raging about some policy he put forward. Maybe it's good, maybe it's bad. It doesn't matter. The policies voters associate with him are those enacted under the 8-year Obama presidency. Accept that or lose
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Note in particular that Biden's approval rating was substantially *higher* than Obama's when they left office in 2017. I find it really weird that pundits are so reluctant to acknowledge the obvious political strengths conferred to Biden by the Vice Presidencypic.twitter.com/b1AKRacH24
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Illustrative piece on the relative coolness of the Obama alumni world toward Biden. Note, not a single one of them is even considering Bernie. (Also note that Obama approved of Biden using Obama's voice in a campaign ad, which is significant)https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-joe-biden-seeks-the-obama-mantle-many-obama-loyalists-wait-to-see-who-lights-a-fire/2019/05/11/6ed9beaa-7322-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html …
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And all the Dem VPs who got the nomination lost the general election.
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Where would you put Kamalas chances?
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or it is people's assumption that somebody who is VP will make a good president or that being the VP of a "liked" president will make that person a good president. I hope Democrats pick Biden as their nominee so we can watch him lose to Trump like Clinton did but much worse!
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I don't know if I would include the examples of Gore and Bush Sr. to make this particular point. In those two races, they were effectively the incumbent.
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none of these candidates had more than one previous run. being vp helps to boost exposure, but biden had a fair amount of exposure before
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But of all these you mentioned, only George H. W. became a president.
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Wow. That excerpt is factually wrong in nearly all respects. 1. Humphrey had to depend on murder of the leading candidate and corruption (Google Chicago 68) to win the nomination. 2. Mondale barely won in 1984 and had to depend on last minute superdelegates to get a majority.
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3. Bush lost to Reagan when Reagan had already nearly knocked off an incumbent president in 1976, it was not a bad loss. The 1988 field was not impressive. A teevee preacher was his top competition.
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You're turning into Nate Silver. Biggest lesson from recent cycles is that the process is evolving and examples from the 60s-90s aren't particularly relevant anymore. Remember how many columns Nate wrote in 2015...
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Did any of those historic examples dropping out of a race for lying and plagiarism, as Biden did in 88? If Biden was so popular he’d draw a crowd at rallies, hsve higher individual donor count, and polls wouldn’t have needed to be skewed for over 45 to give that big jump.
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