Joe Biden is a stronger candidate than many in the media initially wanted to acknowledge. The association with Obama is probably the single most valuable asset any candidate can have in a presidential primary race. He's not "Hillary 2.0" either. My item:https://spectator.us/joe-biden-2020-blow/ …
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One irony of Biden benefiting greatly from his unparalleled association with Obama is that the operatives, lobbyists, and consultants who comprise "Obama World" didn't particularly want him to run. They largely ranged from agnostic to hostile. Interesting dynamic to keep in mind
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Also note that I am NOT saying Bernie has no chance, or that Biden is somehow a shoe-in for the nomination. I still think Bernie has many unique strengths and is well-positioned to win in a lot of ways. My purpose is to outline the dynamics that could give rise to a Biden victory
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Good item here illustrating the unique value of the Vice Presidency in equipping candidates to obtain their Party's nomination, and why Biden's two previous failed runs are basically irrelevant now. Accords with the reasoning I laid out in my essay http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/dont-sell-bidens-vice-presidential-experience-short/ …pic.twitter.com/gzMzLDikw5
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Note in particular that Biden's approval rating was substantially *higher* than Obama's when they left office in 2017. I find it really weird that pundits are so reluctant to acknowledge the obvious political strengths conferred to Biden by the Vice Presidencypic.twitter.com/b1AKRacH24
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Illustrative piece on the relative coolness of the Obama alumni world toward Biden. Note, not a single one of them is even considering Bernie. (Also note that Obama approved of Biden using Obama's voice in a campaign ad, which is significant)https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-joe-biden-seeks-the-obama-mantle-many-obama-loyalists-wait-to-see-who-lights-a-fire/2019/05/11/6ed9beaa-7322-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html …
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But if the "old normal" gave us Trump's "new normal" isn't the risk of a return to the status quo ante that you get a much worse "new normal" next time?
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Joe is quite normal, and that's not a good thinghttps://twitter.com/aquaponicdave/status/1126847638345793537 …
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Dems dont want a return to obama
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Because neoliberalism is so cool
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Sometimes the old guard is not far enough left to get an endorsement from the old boss... it makes “normal hard to understand” Don’t know if JFK would endorse any candidates?
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Imo that's strongest pt of your argument. Esp but not exclusively w/better off parts of Dem electorate. It's been huge undercurrent of Russiagate: the claim that this is all a foreign-sponsored aberration in our politics and therefore it's possible to GO BACK to status quo ante
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His gaffes and lack of stamina will unravel his quest. Poor campaigning track record. Not a natural like Obama.
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You raise interesting points. IMO what pundits underestimate is the volatility of a campaign. No way anyone can tell now how the nomination or the 2020 election will play out. My conclusion: we should focus on issues.
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A Democrat with smaller active dislikes than HRC. Popular with seniors. I don’t see how he is beatable.
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Unfortunately maga appeals to a lot of ppl every generation My parents recalled fondly the way things used to be... Even tho going backward in time doesn't make sense-- it appeals to many-- bc going forward requires a certain bravery "to go where no one has gone before..."
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You are not NORMAL. Return to normalcy and get out of the pundit asshattery on what's going to happen in the overrated premature 2020 electoral cycle.
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Only liberals could see the last 2 presidents as normal.
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