Joe Biden is a stronger candidate than many in the media initially wanted to acknowledge. The association with Obama is probably the single most valuable asset any candidate can have in a presidential primary race. He's not "Hillary 2.0" either. My item:https://spectator.us/joe-biden-2020-blow/ …
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I think pundits really underrate the appeal of returning to "normalcy" for Democratic primary voters. That's been the refrain under Trump: THIS IS NOT NORMAL. How better to restore the "normal" order of things then to nominate the last "normal" president's trusty, avuncular VP?
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One irony of Biden benefiting greatly from his unparalleled association with Obama is that the operatives, lobbyists, and consultants who comprise "Obama World" didn't particularly want him to run. They largely ranged from agnostic to hostile. Interesting dynamic to keep in mind
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Also note that I am NOT saying Bernie has no chance, or that Biden is somehow a shoe-in for the nomination. I still think Bernie has many unique strengths and is well-positioned to win in a lot of ways. My purpose is to outline the dynamics that could give rise to a Biden victory
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Good item here illustrating the unique value of the Vice Presidency in equipping candidates to obtain their Party's nomination, and why Biden's two previous failed runs are basically irrelevant now. Accords with the reasoning I laid out in my essay http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/dont-sell-bidens-vice-presidential-experience-short/ …pic.twitter.com/gzMzLDikw5
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Note in particular that Biden's approval rating was substantially *higher* than Obama's when they left office in 2017. I find it really weird that pundits are so reluctant to acknowledge the obvious political strengths conferred to Biden by the Vice Presidencypic.twitter.com/b1AKRacH24
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Illustrative piece on the relative coolness of the Obama alumni world toward Biden. Note, not a single one of them is even considering Bernie. (Also note that Obama approved of Biden using Obama's voice in a campaign ad, which is significant)https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-joe-biden-seeks-the-obama-mantle-many-obama-loyalists-wait-to-see-who-lights-a-fire/2019/05/11/6ed9beaa-7322-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html …
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To what would you attribute Biden's greater popularity over Hillary Clinton?
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Closer association with Obama, a highly popular former president whom Hillary ran against and sharply attacked. Conversely, Biden was elected on the same ticket as Obama twice. Projects less of an appearance of corruption and mendacity. Also vague sense of greater "authenticity"
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Damning with faint praise.
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So Joe Biden is more likeable than Hillary Clinton was at this stage in 2016? That's not a very high bar. Biden may enjoy some advantages, but his biggest disadvantage is his legacy. As it becomes more well known and he has to defend it in debates, the "positivity" will fade.
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2014 was several lifetimes ago. Biden’s skillset is surely not cut out for this now.
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I agree, but that’s mostly because as Vice President he didn’t have to answer for his own record.
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Good analysis, article, and thread. Biden on the debate stage is also under estimated. While his reputation as a gaffe machine on the trail is merited, he is under appreciated as a debater. He was the best D debater in his short '08 primary campaign, & kicked Ryan's ass in '12.
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I wonder why he didn't run in 2016. Maybe Hillary told him not to.
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The average Democrat is not in charge of the major narrative and media influence, therefore Biden will be METOO'd and OLDWHITEMAN'd out of the picture.
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To what extent is this positive impression confined to registered Democrsts? (Relevant for winning the primary, not as much do for winning general, when no party ID voters outnumber Dems.)
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It helps to be male
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His strengths are outweighed by his weakness for...pic.twitter.com/74vQeJQjN8
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Oh, and it doesn't matter how Dems feel about Biden. All that matters is how America feels. This is not about Dems. Dems made it about Dems last time, and that's how Dems got Trump.
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Being more popular or even just perceived as more positive than Hillary Clinton isn’t remotely a unique position to be in, nor is it relevant unless you’re going to compare it to one of the other candidate’s measure.
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