Joe Biden is a stronger candidate than many in the media initially wanted to acknowledge. The association with Obama is probably the single most valuable asset any candidate can have in a presidential primary race. He's not "Hillary 2.0" either. My item:https://spectator.us/joe-biden-2020-blow/ …
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According to a study of Facebook sentiment data in 2014, Biden was the most popular Democrat in the country. The study showed that 67% of the conversation on Facebook about him was positive, far outscoring Hillary on that metrichttps://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/bensmith/the-facebook-election …
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That will probably drop somewhat as he participates in a contentious primary race. But it indicates that the baseline of "positivity" Democrats feel toward him is much higher than Hillary's ever was, which is yet another major strength he possesses relative to Hillary
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I think pundits really underrate the appeal of returning to "normalcy" for Democratic primary voters. That's been the refrain under Trump: THIS IS NOT NORMAL. How better to restore the "normal" order of things then to nominate the last "normal" president's trusty, avuncular VP?
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One irony of Biden benefiting greatly from his unparalleled association with Obama is that the operatives, lobbyists, and consultants who comprise "Obama World" didn't particularly want him to run. They largely ranged from agnostic to hostile. Interesting dynamic to keep in mind
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Also note that I am NOT saying Bernie has no chance, or that Biden is somehow a shoe-in for the nomination. I still think Bernie has many unique strengths and is well-positioned to win in a lot of ways. My purpose is to outline the dynamics that could give rise to a Biden victory
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Good item here illustrating the unique value of the Vice Presidency in equipping candidates to obtain their Party's nomination, and why Biden's two previous failed runs are basically irrelevant now. Accords with the reasoning I laid out in my essay http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/dont-sell-bidens-vice-presidential-experience-short/ …pic.twitter.com/gzMzLDikw5
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Note in particular that Biden's approval rating was substantially *higher* than Obama's when they left office in 2017. I find it really weird that pundits are so reluctant to acknowledge the obvious political strengths conferred to Biden by the Vice Presidencypic.twitter.com/b1AKRacH24
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Illustrative piece on the relative coolness of the Obama alumni world toward Biden. Note, not a single one of them is even considering Bernie. (Also note that Obama approved of Biden using Obama's voice in a campaign ad, which is significant)https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-joe-biden-seeks-the-obama-mantle-many-obama-loyalists-wait-to-see-who-lights-a-fire/2019/05/11/6ed9beaa-7322-11e9-9f06-5fc2ee80027a_story.html …
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It was mutual - Obama doesn't get elected without HRC's support either. Morally corrupt symbiosis...
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That's highly implausible. Obama won in 2008 by over 7%
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I keep thinking back to a throwaway article The Onion posted while Joe was VP. It exemplifies for me that even back then, everyone was well aware that he was a non-entity, devoid of political purpose.https://politics.theonion.com/shirtless-biden-washes-trans-am-in-white-house-driveway-1819570732 …
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BUT - Biden has to live with the Obama legacy, which is not all positive, to say the least.
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All valid had Obama promptly endorsed Biden. He didn’t in 2016, when Biden stayed out only because Obama didn’t, and he didn’t this month. Obama would have made Holder his VP: Joe was a beneficiary of discrimination.
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Joe " while we are all very disappointed about what happen to Mrs Clinton's 2016 run, maybe it was for the best that she didn't succeed"
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4) was a vastly poorer secretary of state than the person who replaced her
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I don’t believe he ever suggested that maybe someone would assassinate Obama like Hillary did, either.
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