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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      I'm thinking the closest analog for the 2020 Dem primaries could be 2004. Field was ostensibly wide open, Dean attracted early energy and attention, but ultimately voters coalesced around the more "electable" candidate (Kerry) because their overriding objective was to beat Bush

      28 replies 31 retweets 145 likes
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    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      Of course, Kerry didn't turn out to be "electable" -- all his purported strengths were transformed by the GOP into liabilities ("flip-flopper," denigrating his Vietnam service) but that was the thinking of the Dem primary electorate at the time. Hence the current appeal of Biden

      12 replies 16 retweets 86 likes
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    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      I have certain preferences (in terms of candidates, policy outcomes, etc.) but I at least try to subordinate them analytically when assessing political dynamics: in other words, I try to be "impartial" when analyzing events. Most in the punditocracy don't even attempt to do this

      12 replies 9 retweets 69 likes
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    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      Michael Tracey Retweeted AP Politics

      This is a lot of money, and I'd wager that most Democrats are *happy* that Biden is raising a lot of money from wealthy donors, because they want him to have as much money as possible in service of defeating Trumphttps://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1126667429398999041 …

      Michael Tracey added,

      AP PoliticsVerified account @AP_Politics
      Source tells AP that Biden raked in $750,000 at a Hollywood fundraiser http://apne.ws/i4OPk4k 
      6 replies 7 retweets 27 likes
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    5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      Michael Tracey Retweeted Pod Save America

      Abrams running would be bad for Biden. It would place additional pressure on black elected officials to stay neutral, whereas Biden wants them to endorse early. (He's already gotten several notable endorsements from powerful black Dems)https://twitter.com/PodSaveAmerica/status/1126563669255397376 …

      Michael Tracey added,

      0:17
      Pod Save AmericaVerified account @PodSaveAmerica
      .@danpfeiffer "It has been reported that you are still considering joining the ever-growing democratic presidential field. Is that true?" @staceyabrams: "Yes." Stacey Abrams joins today's Pod, out this afternoon: http://applepodcasts.com/podsaveamerica  pic.twitter.com/42pxs22VFi
      9 replies 7 retweets 29 likes
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    6. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      John Lewis famously endorsed Hillary early in the 2008 cycle, but then withdrew the endorsement and endorsed Obama once he started winning primaries and caucuses. That was an extremely important development for Obama. Could imagine a roughly similar dynamic playing out this time

      7 replies 8 retweets 33 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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      Might get in trouble for saying this, but whatever: Abrams clearly has a more natural attachment to black voters writ large than Harris, and even arguably Booker. Southern blacks in particular, which is the constituency Biden needs most. (Majority of SC Dem electorate is black)

      5:46 AM - 10 May 2019
      • 4 Retweets
      • 32 Likes
      • G Policy Lothrop Stoddard Rabid "Brownie Bro" Residue Rajesh Panday Adam Ableman 🇺🇸 🌬 🎃🌪 Z of House H, Dracarys 🗽🎃 🥃 🇺🇸 Viktor Samuel Fen 🇻🇦🇺🇸 MEF🇨🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱WWG1WGA-MAGA-God is good💓
      20 replies 4 retweets 32 likes
        1. Novid "Sekiro" Houellebecq (Hollaback)‏ @GarouGothic May 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          Here is my issue and it really comes to focus. Its Tulsi with the Nod. Period. Everyone has baggage and Abrams got sympathy votes over the loss in GA, but would be a symbolic win if she enters and get the nod, but a disastrous general.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Mark‏ @_FlickNow May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I imagine Kamala's career as a prosecutor is not going to do her any favors

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Fish Pimp‏ @Fish_Pimp May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This county chair just endorsed Biden.pic.twitter.com/P6XkgUR1yP

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        1. Hundred Year Egg‏ @iamjimmyo May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The explanation for why Abrams has more natural attachment to black voters would interesting. Clearly.

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        1. Strength Cult‏ @TimeIsNot May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Spartacus' lack of racial authenticity was a primary talking point of Sharpe James' mayoral campaign in Newark in which he defeated Booker. Booker grew up in the wealthiest county in NJ which is one of the wealthiest in U.S. He is phony in every way.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Nancy Freed‏ @jeansbluejeans May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Agreed, Californians think that they are in touch with the average Joe, but they aren't at all, especially these days. Abrams is much more Americana.

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        2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
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          Replying to @DSDrainer

          Yeah, blacks base everything on race, which is why they overwhelmingly favor Biden. Idiot

          2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        3. 1 more reply
        1. Vickey‏ @slewtrue611 May 11
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          While I wait to find out if you are black or not, let me ask you this? Why does it matter? I guess race will not matter until we are all unidentifiable by race.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. 2nd hand hearsay reporting doesn't = whistleblower‏ @ullikemike May 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          I remember a lot of talk that Obama wasn't an authentic African American because he wasn't down for the struggle. The John Lewis endorsement took care of that for him and turned Obama into a serious challenger to Hillary in 2008.

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        1. Scotty B, Phetasy Doctorate (PhD)‏ @ScottishDuke May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          She's less of a grandstander than Kamala and Cory so she comes more authentic in general

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        2. Brad Crawford‏ @provoter May 10
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The upside of Biden-Abrams is, potentially, a couple points uptick in black turnout / dem loyalty here & there. The downside can be seen in Mondale-Ferraro 1984. Biden is every bit as beta as Mondale, & Abrams as mate would magnify this to public, just like Ferraro pick in ‘84.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Brad Crawford‏ @provoter May 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @provoter @mtracey

          I misread the tweet I replied to and thought it was referring to a hypothetical Biden-Abrams ticket. Still, I’ll let the reply stand on its own, since I think the point remains relevant.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1.  🇺🇸 Michelle #NotABot‏ @CovfefeAnalyst May 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          Booker is black? Do the blacks know?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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