I'm thinking the closest analog for the 2020 Dem primaries could be 2004. Field was ostensibly wide open, Dean attracted early energy and attention, but ultimately voters coalesced around the more "electable" candidate (Kerry) because their overriding objective was to beat Bush
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This is a lot of money, and I'd wager that most Democrats are *happy* that Biden is raising a lot of money from wealthy donors, because they want him to have as much money as possible in service of defeating Trumphttps://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1126667429398999041 …
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Abrams running would be bad for Biden. It would place additional pressure on black elected officials to stay neutral, whereas Biden wants them to endorse early. (He's already gotten several notable endorsements from powerful black Dems)https://twitter.com/PodSaveAmerica/status/1126563669255397376 …
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John Lewis famously endorsed Hillary early in the 2008 cycle, but then withdrew the endorsement and endorsed Obama once he started winning primaries and caucuses. That was an extremely important development for Obama. Could imagine a roughly similar dynamic playing out this time
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Might get in trouble for saying this, but whatever: Abrams clearly has a more natural attachment to black voters writ large than Harris, and even arguably Booker. Southern blacks in particular, which is the constituency Biden needs most. (Majority of SC Dem electorate is black)
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openly admitting personal biases while attempting objectivity should be the baseline for every journalist
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It’s appreciated.
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This is some excellent analysis now that Biden is 30 point up on Bernie. Any other revelations? Golden State is better than the Knicks maybe?
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You should try using some data, maybe like what Nate silver has up on 538 would help ground your opinions
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You're a libertarian
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Ah yes Michael Tracey, king of impartialitypic.twitter.com/2tmeSL8Zg3
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Biden folded like a cheap suit over plagiarism unlike Hillary who ran under criminal investigation.
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You should rethink your analysis of Biden. He isn’t a favorite among most of the left and those polls are fooling people. He doesn’t have the energy behind him.
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