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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
    • Report Tweet

    I'm thinking the closest analog for the 2020 Dem primaries could be 2004. Field was ostensibly wide open, Dean attracted early energy and attention, but ultimately voters coalesced around the more "electable" candidate (Kerry) because their overriding objective was to beat Bush

    4:35 AM - 10 May 2019
    • 31 Retweets
    • 145 Likes
    • 🌹The Horse Sayz🌹#NoMoreWar Paul Marr Mr. Bison Corporate Simulation Joe Mancinik Ch0mpz Bill Hogan⏳⭐️⭐️⭐️ WE WON IT SIX TIMES LizardCensus
    28 replies 31 retweets 145 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        Of course, Kerry didn't turn out to be "electable" -- all his purported strengths were transformed by the GOP into liabilities ("flip-flopper," denigrating his Vietnam service) but that was the thinking of the Dem primary electorate at the time. Hence the current appeal of Biden

        12 replies 16 retweets 86 likes
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      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        I have certain preferences (in terms of candidates, policy outcomes, etc.) but I at least try to subordinate them analytically when assessing political dynamics: in other words, I try to be "impartial" when analyzing events. Most in the punditocracy don't even attempt to do this

        12 replies 9 retweets 69 likes
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      4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        Michael Tracey Retweeted AP Politics

        This is a lot of money, and I'd wager that most Democrats are *happy* that Biden is raising a lot of money from wealthy donors, because they want him to have as much money as possible in service of defeating Trumphttps://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1126667429398999041 …

        Michael Tracey added,

        AP PoliticsVerified account @AP_Politics
        Source tells AP that Biden raked in $750,000 at a Hollywood fundraiser http://apne.ws/i4OPk4k 
        6 replies 7 retweets 27 likes
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      5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        Michael Tracey Retweeted Pod Save America

        Abrams running would be bad for Biden. It would place additional pressure on black elected officials to stay neutral, whereas Biden wants them to endorse early. (He's already gotten several notable endorsements from powerful black Dems)https://twitter.com/PodSaveAmerica/status/1126563669255397376 …

        Michael Tracey added,

        0:17
        Pod Save AmericaVerified account @PodSaveAmerica
        .@danpfeiffer "It has been reported that you are still considering joining the ever-growing democratic presidential field. Is that true?" @staceyabrams: "Yes." Stacey Abrams joins today's Pod, out this afternoon: http://applepodcasts.com/podsaveamerica  pic.twitter.com/42pxs22VFi
        9 replies 7 retweets 29 likes
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      6. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        John Lewis famously endorsed Hillary early in the 2008 cycle, but then withdrew the endorsement and endorsed Obama once he started winning primaries and caucuses. That was an extremely important development for Obama. Could imagine a roughly similar dynamic playing out this time

        7 replies 8 retweets 33 likes
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      7. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey May 10
        • Report Tweet

        Might get in trouble for saying this, but whatever: Abrams clearly has a more natural attachment to black voters writ large than Harris, and even arguably Booker. Southern blacks in particular, which is the constituency Biden needs most. (Majority of SC Dem electorate is black)

        20 replies 4 retweets 32 likes
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      8. End of conversation
      1. Bob Powell‏ @bpowell42 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Maybe the Dems should try to put someone out there based on actual good qualities, instead of just who is more electable. The people see thru that. Hillary wanted to run against Donald because she thought she could beat him. But she ignored half the country and was sent packing.

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. CtHorseFarmer ⏳‏ @CtHorseFarmer May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        But when it was shown that the election results in Ohio were wrong the Democrats rolled over just like 2000. Republicans fight, Democrats retreat.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Boomer for Bernie‏ @MoralOutrage1 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Dean was ousted b/c of the scream.

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. F. Lopes‏ @poopoopeepee25 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @MoralOutrage1 @mtracey

        Right?! The definition of what's acceptable or not has changed so much since then that it's hard to believe that was the reason.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Thistle-at-Law‏ @WallyStummy May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        1972. Forget what the Dem field looks like. Consider who controls the narrative in the party. And how far away it’s moved from the center & the traditional coalition. Can Democrats win as the party of elites, alienating the working class?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Christopher Esposito‏ @crabioscar May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        When did you turn into an election pundit

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1.  🕷️ 🌹 🦇Jake 🦇 🌹 🕷️ ("Russian Bot" since 2017)‏ @jake0149 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Electibility should be second to policy. But even in terms of electiblity, more of the same is not what WeThePeople want. "Change" has been the winning battle-cry for decades for a reason. But one more faux "change" president will probably shatter the republic.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Space Force Admiral- ✝️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️‏ @GLoves247 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        I was an Anti-War conservative. I remember hoping Dean would win. Actually believed his rhetoric back then. Biden is the Mondale, Bob Dole, Romney for 2020, Built to lose. What's wrong with @TulsiGabbard ? Is it because she's no sellout?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Tom Pappalardo‏ @Tom__Pappalardo May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        2004 was when most left leaning voters still believed the Dem Party had their backs Not the case now as it's probably about a 50/50 split that left leaning voters trust not trust most Dem politicians

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Greg Martin‏ @SelkirkArt May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        The constant struggle between the pro-CIA, pro-war, Wall Street Democratic leadership and a very restless base. I don't think limp marketing creations like AOC will be enough to convince people to vote for Biden. Could be 2016 all over again.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. william munny‏ @bmMunny May 10
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        Replying to @mtracey

        this is the sort of situation where IRV in the general would help.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. MerCel Capital‏ @darylmox May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Biden = Jeb..

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. 2 more replies
      1. Bruceontwit‏ @Bruceontwit1 May 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        beat Bush

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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