If the economy stays relatively "good," at least in the macro sense, I wouldn't underestimate the appeal of returning to the pre-Trump status quo in the Dem electorate. Yes, there's upheaval globally and in the US, but it can be counteracted by a nostalgic desire for "normalcy"
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Primaries during years when there's an incumbent to defeat incentivize a certain kind of "conservatism" among the Party electorate: hence the overwhelming focus on "electability." See: John Kerry in 2004. Everybody thought he had the best chance to beat Bush. Vietnam service, etc
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In 2008, Bush was deeply unpopular after two terms and it was widely assumed that Dems were heavily favored no matter who they nominated. So voters were more willing to "take a chance" on a black guy whose middle name was "Hussein." Different set of incentives operative in 2020
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It's also weird that pundits are so hostile to voters determining their preferences on the basis of "electability" when they've been screaming since 2016 that Hillary lost because she was unelectable due to sexism and racism or whatever
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Superdelegates to "deliver" nomination on second vote to Biden or Harris or Biden/Harris, who then proceed to lose miserably to the orange menace.
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I watched a Biden "speech." Hard to imagine that he'll last another year. He already looks tired and confused. Many of his sentences don't parse. As for the parachuting comments, it looks like Harris has the parachutes at this point. Long way to go; a lot can happen.
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Maybe when Biden was in his prime but he's toll old and befuddled. He'll fumble through some debates and collapse. Maybe he should hire hillarys doctors?
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Comrade Bernie is the new Dem normie!
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So, when do you think the Oligarchy parachutes Michelle Obama into the race?
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dont sleep on Yang. No ones heard of him but when they do he has ravenous support. Parabolic moves in the polls although low now...
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If the DNC picks Bernie then Democrat moderates will stay at home If the DNC picks Biden then Democrat Progressives will stay at home
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I thought the same thing the other day. It's in the way he speaks. I think Al Gore should run.
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Biden is the candidate that alienates the least amount of voters. I do think Biden will be attacked from a lot of angles and he does not appear to be up for that challenge. I see Biden tanking early, Bernie in it to the end and someone else that people move to defeat Bernie.
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