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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Apr 10
    • Report Tweet

    Michael Tracey Retweeted Nate Silver

    Nate, in his infinite wisdom, has decreed that Bernie is on the same "tier" as Mayor Pete. Hilarioushttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1116106327208747008 …

    Michael Tracey added,

    Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
    FWIW, my current thinking on the tiers in the Democratic primary, in terms of likelihood of winning the nomination. This is very rough, obviously: Tier 1a: Harris, Biden Tier 1b: Bernie, Beto, Buttigieg, Warren Tier 2: Booker, Klobuchar
    Show this thread
    3:37 PM - 10 Apr 2019
    • 36 Retweets
    • 208 Likes
    • Tasha & Justin Rossi NRED #s 179902, 179775 Mister Nobody Jumbo Shrimp #BernieORVEST ✊ #HilLIZabeth Robert R. Freitag II Roderick Burrell Chris Ntokos adamkvh Dr. Prumpo
    35 replies 36 retweets 208 likes
      1. Currie Dobson‏ @Ventuckyspaz Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Also also putting Bernie on the same level as Beto is pretty gross.

        0 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Russian bot interfering in western democracies‏ @RussianBot3002 Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        also harris, who is in 3rd place in her home state in a poll today, in tier 1a.

        1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
      3. Aiko 4386‏ @aiko4386 Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @RussianBot3002 @mtracey

        🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Chris‏ @swingsetmafia Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Nate silver couldnt predict the likely hood that summer comes after spring much less sort candidates into tiers based on the likely hood of winning the nomination.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. dog in pharoah costume  👻‏ @DanMache1 Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @swingsetmafia @mtracey

        But Nate has a scientific model... he swears.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan Brookman‏ @DanBrookmanBIG Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Bernie is the ONLY Democrat running who can beat Trump. It's going to come down to the rust belt states again, and he's the only Democrat who can appeal to those working class voters in PA, OH, IN, MI, & WI. Nate Silver STILL doesn't understand the electorate.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Darren Wong 🧢‏ @darrenmwong Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @DanBrookmanBIG @mtracey

        The odds are his impressions of who gets the nomination, not who he thinks can beat trump.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. 4 more replies
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      2. Haden Ware‏ @HadenWare Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Opinions and polls are worthless. Just follow the actual odds from bookmakers with real money on the line... Odds to win the 2020 Democratic Party Presidential Nomination: Bernie Sanders+300 Kamala Harris+350 Joe Biden+400 Beto O’Rourke+450 Amy Klobuchar+1000

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Haden Ware‏ @HadenWare Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @HadenWare @mtracey

        Full odds to win the 2020 election... Donald Trump+175 Bernie Sanders+650 Kamala Harris+650 Joe Biden+650 Beto O’Rourke+900 Andrew Yang+2200 Pete Buttgieg+2800 Sherrod Brown+2800 Elizabeth Warren+3000 Amy Klobuchar+3300 Cory Booker+3300 Tulsi Gabbard+4000

        2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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      2. miasmo‏ @miasmo_ Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Nate Silver is like a smart person.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Jordan Adams‏ @HookupsJZA Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @miasmo_ @mtracey

        🤣🤣🤣

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Michael Niczky 🏜️ 🏜️ 🏜️‏ @MichaelNiczky Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Nate Silver got lucky twice. That's it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Darren Wong 🧢‏ @darrenmwong Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        It may not be fair, but mainstream media seems to be backing Harris, Biden, and Buttigieg, not Bernie, Yang, Tulsi, etc. The odds kinda reflect that for all their other problems.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Elizabeth Warren (fake)‏ @EWarenn Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        There seems to be a media led effort to downplay or ignore Bernie as much as possible. 2016 all over again.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. TheConfusedGenius ⏳‏ @theosu66 Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Smoke filled back room...

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Scary  😈 March for Progress  🎃‏ @march4progress Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Nate should stick to sports prognostication.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Robbin Milne ⏳#Antiwar #4Peace‏ @RobbinMilne Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Same ole story 😂This next election is going to be a doozy.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. KZalew‏ @K_Zalew Apr 10
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        Replying to @mtracey

        You are also #TeamTaleb?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. prevolutionary‏ @joeydefiant Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Whoever receives the most money from big donors will win. Why is this a surprise? The "establishment" candidates obviously have a better chance of winning...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Extreme Machine 3002‏ @xtreemmasheen3k Apr 10
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Based on Sentiment and Democratic Party machinations, I think his speculation is valid. I know you're in a circle that loves Bernie, but I don't see the same amount of fervor that he had in 2016. I was someone who supported him in '16, but I don't see him as the same candidate.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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