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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
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@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 Apr 10
      • Report Tweet

      FWIW, my current thinking on the tiers in the Democratic primary, in terms of likelihood of winning the nomination. This is very rough, obviously: Tier 1a: Harris, Biden Tier 1b: Bernie, Beto, Buttigieg, Warren Tier 2: Booker, Klobuchar

      1,332 replies 669 retweets 3,889 likes
      Show this thread
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Apr 10
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      Bernie and Mayor Pete on the same tier is hilarious. Come on, Nate

      3:36 PM - 10 Apr 2019
      • 33 Retweets
      • 1,344 Likes
      • Zach 🇺🇸🏳️‍🌈 Sean Alawine microdozer 🌹 🎃🍂 Alex Kai 🍂🎃 Keith Murray 🌹 Jesús Hermosillo Marxist Trader gaberade gemma
      84 replies 33 retweets 1,344 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. michaeleaster‏ @realMEasterwood Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Where is Tulsi?

          39 replies 3 retweets 161 likes
        3. Charles Ghoulba‏Verified account @charles_gaba Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @realMEasterwood @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Syria

          49 replies 7 retweets 1,323 likes
        4. 1 more reply
        1. New conversation
        2. ahmed‏ @_fpl_ment Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Sanders numbers are not that good now

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Russian Agent Ghost‏ @joeflex73 Apr 10
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          Replying to @_fpl_ment @mtracey @NateSilver538

          He's first or second in every poll. And he's usually 2nd to a guy who is only delaying because he'll be eviscerated for his record and his creepiness. Sanders IS the frontrunner.

          4 replies 2 retweets 35 likes
        4. 3 more replies
        1. clay‏ @InFury Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Bernie has FULL name recongition. Considering that, I would argue Pete has a better shot at this point. Everyone has an opinion of Bernie by this stage.

          0 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
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        1. Dan‏ @danwinesalot Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          You always seem to show up with a hot garbage take. You’re quite good at them.

          0 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        1. Roger Mexico‏ @roger_mexico Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          From beyond the grave, @mtracey has spoken.

          0 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Mcam‏ @westwoodmom Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Well, they do have significant overlap in supporters. But the Pete bubble will burst when people realize just how ridiculously small South Bend is.

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mike, a spooky owl  🦉‏ @owlswatch Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @westwoodmom @mtracey @NateSilver538

          I’ve only seen that argument brought up by people acting in bad faith. It only takes about 2 minutes of listening to Pete to realize he absolutely has what it takes.

          4 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
        4. 2 more replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Donna McMahon  🎃‏ @Oooooo_Donna Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          I don't think Sanders has a chance in hell. Almost 100% name recognition, running in the same exact platform & polling at an average of abt 22%? That's not good. Neither is Biden's %. Leaves a lot of room for those just behind them who aren't well known.

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Leeuwen‏ @FlowersxSilence Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @Oooooo_Donna @mtracey @NateSilver538

          "just behind" are at best polling 3-6% In a field of 18. 22% in a field of 18 is high.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. 1 more reply
        1. Kim “It’s Boo! 🎃 👻-Edge-Edge” Murphy‏ @kimmurphy100 Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Pete should definitely be ahead of Sanders.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        1. clay107‏ @clay107 Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          I know it's crazy... but I think Nate's dead on. Doesn't make sense at first but in terms of who is more likely to win the nomination, he's right

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. asking the real questions‏ @username2hard Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Yeah seriously, it’s almost insulting how bad that is.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Michael Bobick‏ @naturaporia Apr 11
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Pete bridges the gap, est dems see Bernie as too far out

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. *you're‏ @RKJ65 Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Agreed. Bernie should be at least 1 tier lower.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Bernie Sanders 2020  👊‏ @FeelTheAloha Apr 10
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          When you're Nate Silver, you make the data work for you.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Just This Guy‏ @jason_s_quick Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          I'm trying to figure out why your opinion of this matter is of any value.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. FearsomeBeaver‏ @FearsomeBeaver Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          Exactly. Bernie should be moved lower.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Barbara Fredrickson‏ @BarbaraFred74 Apr 10
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          Replying to @mtracey @NateSilver538

          I agree with Nate.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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