Interesting post from a former Trump campaign worker who predicts he'll lose in 2020. Seems very plausible to me. Trump has done little to consolidate the normal advantages of presidential incumbency. If anything, he seems to have shed supporthttps://ryandetert.com/tweet-cave-repeat-equals-2020-defeat/ …
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He could say "I tried, but The Swamp got the better of me", which would not even be completely untrue.
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Still waiting.
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that’s the same type of talk that got him elected 3 years ago. careful with that fake news homie.
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Really?!?!
@realDonaldTrump has played the whole political process like a fiddle. The left has made permanent damage to the fabric of America, but war torn and battered is what#Trump seems to specialize in. We will come out stronger. Different. But stronger.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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The Fed flattened the yield curve to combat the post election growth... going to be tough to re-accelerate growth to 2018 levels without that changing.
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the only way he’ll not run is if his actual base of donors and fans desert him
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Many economists including Richard Wolf give it 16 months. A tanked economy will also benefit Warren.
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Yes. Economy is the single greatest X factor. Next 18 mos will be interesting. Hard to envision 45 not running. Would be rather unprecedented. However, old norms are no longer strict determinants.
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There are always leading indicators that are meaningless in reality. Economy suffering from an employee shortage. If trade issues come to an end economy has lots of room to continue expansion but you are absolutely right if the economy tanks he will be done, probability 5%
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21.4%
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Where will he hide? Israel?
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Dripping with eager anticipation.
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When you take out your "maybe" and even dream of a better life, no. Comptent Democrats would already stand above him with a stained matador's sword. If he doesn't run, it will be by his ennui/convenience or some apolitical caprice. Women? It may be that simple. Dem power? 0.
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As much as I want a progressive to win, if they're not willing to get rid of the 60 vote Senate filibuster than what's the point since that would block major legislation
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Interesting prediction. In what way might he withdraw his name from the race?
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If the economy tanks... If Wall St has no more use for Trump they will tank the economy thereby securing his defeat. Question? Who is their preferred candidate? Kamala Biden
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