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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Mar 16
      • Report Tweet

      Interesting post from a former Trump campaign worker who predicts he'll lose in 2020. Seems very plausible to me. Trump has done little to consolidate the normal advantages of presidential incumbency. If anything, he seems to have shed supporthttps://ryandetert.com/tweet-cave-repeat-equals-2020-defeat/ …

      167 replies 221 retweets 624 likes
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    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Mar 16
      • Report Tweet

      Trump’s unconventional communications style has always masked the reality that his presidency has been extremely conventional on a policy level (with a few limited but notable exceptions)

      20 replies 47 retweets 301 likes
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      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey Mar 16
      • Report Tweet

      If the economy tanks (there are already some leading indicators of this) it’s very possible that Trump will not even run. I’d maybe put that at 30% probability right now

      7:11 PM - 16 Mar 2019
      • 24 Retweets
      • 186 Likes
      • ModerateRepublican Linda Gutierrez Char Barbera Her little kult is feisty BrianKemp4Prison Syrupy Bob Gragson Pauline Donovan Dea
      71 replies 24 retweets 186 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Mike Jasinski‏ @jasinskm Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          He could say "I tried, but The Swamp got the better of me", which would not even be completely untrue.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Heathroi‏ @heathroi Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @jasinskm @mtracey

          because if you go toe to toe with the swamp....pic.twitter.com/OfX5QPQx0L

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
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        2. Dan‏ @Off2Nowhere Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          30% based on..what?pic.twitter.com/yUIZPKVo1S

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Jeff Tidwell‏ @RealJeffTidwell Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @Off2Nowhere @mtracey

          Still waiting.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. TransylvaniaStud‏ @t_stud_music Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          that’s the same type of talk that got him elected 3 years ago. careful with that fake news homie.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. 𝔹𝕚𝕣𝕕𝕚𝕖 𝕒𝕟𝕕 𝔹𝕖𝕥𝕥𝕪‏ @birdieandbetty Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          Really?!?! @realDonaldTrump has played the whole political process like a fiddle. The left has made permanent damage to the fabric of America, but war torn and battered is what #Trump seems to specialize in. We will come out stronger. Different. But stronger.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. W T‏ @thirdgenwidget Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The Fed flattened the yield curve to combat the post election growth... going to be tough to re-accelerate growth to 2018 levels without that changing.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. red_star66_communist‏ @magister418 Mar 17
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          Replying to @mtracey

          the only way he’ll not run is if his actual base of donors and fans desert him

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Tao Dao Man  🌵 ☮ ☯️‏ @TaoDaoMan Mar 17
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          Replying to @mtracey @BobGragson

          Many economists including Richard Wolf give it 16 months. A tanked economy will also benefit Warren.

          0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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        1. Wes King‏ @WKLBC89 Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Yes. Economy is the single greatest X factor. Next 18 mos will be interesting. Hard to envision 45 not running. Would be rather unprecedented. However, old norms are no longer strict determinants.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Turbo 🎶 🇺🇸‏ @BareDimension Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          There are always leading indicators that are meaningless in reality. Economy suffering from an employee shortage. If trade issues come to an end economy has lots of room to continue expansion but you are absolutely right if the economy tanks he will be done, probability 5%

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. K.‏ @60sRadical Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          21.4%

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Frank Medici‏ @polychotomy Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Where will he hide? Israel?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. bilding1‏ @bilding1 Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Dripping with eager anticipation.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Lawrence Magnuson‏ @ElmagnotheFinn Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          When you take out your "maybe" and even dream of a better life, no. Comptent Democrats would already stand above him with a stained matador's sword. If he doesn't run, it will be by his ennui/convenience or some apolitical caprice. Women? It may be that simple. Dem power? 0.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. James Moberly‏ @james_moberly Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          As much as I want a progressive to win, if they're not willing to get rid of the 60 vote Senate filibuster than what's the point since that would block major legislation

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Haden Ware‏ @HadenWare Mar 16
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Interesting prediction. In what way might he withdraw his name from the race?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Conspiracy Realist‏ @4evrdv8 Mar 16
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          If the economy tanks... If Wall St has no more use for Trump they will tank the economy thereby securing his defeat. Question? Who is their preferred candidate? Kamala Biden

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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