My working theory: the more candidates who run, the better it is for Bernie. Put another way: the greater the number of candidates, the smaller the plurality he'll need to win Iowa / NH, which is the focus at the moment. He clearly has the firmest "base"https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1095692927836319744 …
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Don't underestimate the percentage of his core support that left him after bowing down to the Clintons. This number is not insignificant and largely unknown.
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I will underestimate it. Thank you.
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But for some, the initial infatuation will have worn off. He lacks depth and is decidedly wimpy on foreign policy. Plus, it's difficult to unsee those images of him and Hillary.
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TulsiSanders2020 though
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Warren was similar but her full throated endorsement of Hillary had to be offsetting for the fans of the Bernie/Warren ideology. Tulsi is just being treated like a leper by the rest of the party. I think she's the most "likable" of those, but they've already made her toxic.
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As an aside. Promoted tweets in my feed are from the Walton family and Gates foundations. What splendid people!!
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wont the new DNC rules for superdelegates prevent this scenario?https://www.npr.org/2018/08/25/641725402/dnc-set-to-reduce-role-of-superdelegates-in-presidential-nominating-process …
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I'm quite impressed with
#Tulsi2020 and her clear minded stance on non-intervention. Anti-militarism could seriously reduce America's emissions, as well. I won't be sending money to Paul Manafort's business partner Tad Devine again. Jury's still out if I'll support Bernie 2020.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Bernie, pass!
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Zero chance the left nominates a white male. The identity religion I mean politics they adhere to means they must nominate in this order: PoC woman PoC man "other" woman ie pocahontas "other" man ie Bernie white woman Beto white man Kamala/Booker is my guess for 2020 ticket
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This is basically how Trump won in ‘16. One populist vs. a dozen or so we’ll-funded centrists. The centrists cancel each other out. Trump and Bernie have strong core bases. It would be fascinating to see them go head-to-head in ‘20.
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many who voted for Bernie in the primaries voted Trump in the general election
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Everyone knows you know you’re lying, and you know that, but you keep on saying it. I’m ok with that.
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Biden could undermine Bernie a bit. Biden comes in with a bit of a strong voter base and gravitas that could knock out some of the other big pro-establishment figures who lose their lane- Gillibrand, Klobuchar could drop out quick after Iowa if Biden comes in and is frontrunner
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Dems are already trying to destroy him and anoint Kamala.
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Bernie couldn't win against 1 candidate who was the worst ever fielded by the Democratic Party. 70% of "Bernie's Base" is simply anti-Clinton. But nevermind, he'll surely have a better chance against 20. I'll bet three Benjamins that Bernie never cracks 20%.
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