If the Syria withdrawal signals a broader move away from the policy of maximalist confrontation with Iran, the neocons are going to enter full-on, five-alarm-fire panic mode. (Recall, earlier this year Trump said he'd meet Rouhani "without preconditions")
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Why can’t both be true at the same time? Yes, Bolton got overconfident and tried to use Syria as a front against Iran, which encroached on Erdogan’s turf. I feel like Erdogan just wanted to steamroll the Syrian Kurds, so he used threat of releasing consulate tape to get this.
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This was Trump's preference all along. I doubt Erdogan was the decisive factor in the decision, even if his phone call happened to precipitate it.
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