As this tweet shows, being a contrarian does not qualify someone to make electoral predictionshttps://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1011453825289523200 …
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Okay, but was this skepticism based off any on-the-ground reporting in the district? You are a roving journalist after all. You basically pulled a Nate Silver/Harry Enten on this one.
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You're right, it was a silly one-off tweet based more on instinct (and prior NY politics reporting) than on-ground experience.
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Still a lil light on that support though...https://twitter.com/GuruBluXVIII/status/1011787453659787264?s=19 …
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Maybe think twice about becoming a pundit again. They're all useless crap, and you brought yourself pretty close to treading in those waters
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