mt

@mtobis

Michael Tobis, an okay boomer, plant-based taco guru, pythoneer, internet native, climatologist (PhD UW Madison 1996). "Master of all trades, doctor of none"

Ottawa ON and Austin TX
Vrijeme pridruživanja: listopad 2007.
Rođen/a 1954.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    18. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima

    This is not "growth" anymore, this is a stupidly designed unstable feedback.

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  2. sada
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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. kol 2019.
    Odgovor korisnicima
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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Good example of why political appointees shouldn't circumvent the normal press release process. That perspective is often missing when people bring up this example. The journalistic practice of using an "as much as" formulation is also not unique to climate, of course.🤷‍♂️

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    5. pro 2018.

    Here is the emissions plot I shared earlier, updated with today's estimates from the Global Carbon Project.

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  6. prije 7 sati

    ICYMI What happens by 2100 is not the question. Peak forcing is the qestion. Whether we destroy nature altogether by 2100 or by 2150 is a pretty minor distinction, ethically.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 8 sati
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    This is also pretty rapid

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 8 sati
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    So, it’s often said the difference between China & US is China run by engineers, US by lawyers. Very easy to do something if no permitting, minimal labor standards, no community say, poor property rights, etc. The same nuclear plant they build in 3 or 4 years takes us 10.

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    an important data point for rebutting claims that rapid decarbonization is not "realistic" would you have thought building a hospital in 10 days was "realistic"? and yet...

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisnicima

    ... the opposite. Point being is that these decisions are not amenable to objective analysis in the same way that, say, cloud feedback, is. Demanding a probabilistic treatment for such a system is going to merely lead to a quantification of the conventional wisdom.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 10 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    In a sense, this discussion is an illustration of the problem. Scientists are continually battered from one "side" and then the other. They're either too alarmist, or not alarmist enough, or their message isn't effective, or it's too effective but in the wrong way, etc.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    Unfortunately yes. The % of American that reject 1) Big Bang is 50% 2) Evolution & age of the Earth being older than 10,000 years & Carbon Dating is 40% 3) that the Earth orbits the Sun is 25% 4) that vaccination is overwhelmingly safe and effective is 25% 5) that DNA exists 8%

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    The idea that scientists are scaring people with thousand page reports and PowerPoint slides is pretty laughable. This criticism can be leveled at doomers and deniers, not scientists. This "debate" is a lot of unfounded armchair quarterbacking of media and policy, not science.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    The distribution of daily avg temperatures for Miami-Dade County for last half of the 20th century (blue) and the last five years (pink). It's stunning. *ESPECIALLY* stunning given that all 365 days of each year in each period are included. (details & apologia downthread) 1/n

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    "1905: The Canadian Government passes the Wireless Telegraph Act, which requires anyone conducting wireless telegraphy to obtain a licence from the Minister of the Department of Fisheries..." It was the end of free speech on Canadian radio forever.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 15 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    The ecological impacts are essentially impossible to risk assess because of the complexity through long causal chains. However, just because it's too complex to reliably model, doesn't mean it doesn't matter.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 15 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    There is a danger in just seeing climate change in terms of rising sea level, increasing temperatures etc. It filters out many of the big dangers like ecological impacts, the impacts on biodiversity and the ability of these natural systems to sustain our economy and food supply.

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  18. 2. velj

    I know lots of PhDs who earn less than tradespeople, but I’m not sure this is something to brag about.

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  19. 2. velj

    Notwithstanding the gratuitous attacks on the physical climatology modeling community, who can use whatever scenario we please, I find myself in agreement on this point. Scenarios are not predictions.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    An older woman came into the bookstore today. I made a joke about a credit card reader issue and she said "these things are all programmed by twenty-five-year-old boys who don't comment their code" and somehow we ended up having a great conversation about programming and biases.

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  21. 2. velj

    Fun early swing program streaming now from the high Arctic

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