Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
mlipsitch's profile
Marc Lipsitch
Marc Lipsitch
Marc Lipsitch
Verified account
@mlipsitch

Tweets

Marc LipsitchVerified account

@mlipsitch

Infectious disease epidemiologist and microbiologist, aspirational barista. mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu Director @CCDD_HSPH Tweets in personal capacity.

Boston, MA
hsph.harvard.edu/faculty/marc-l…
Joined September 2009

Tweets

  • © 2022 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

    This article describes a radical approach to (not) managing the COVID epidemic in India. It misrepresents my views worse than almost any article I have ever been quoted in. We talked for 1/2 an hour and my quote is wildly unrepresentative of what I saidhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-21/a-herd-immunity-strategy-could-actually-work-in-youthful-india …

    6:43 PM - 23 Apr 2020
    • 575 Retweets
    • 1,677 Likes
    • Yoshie Furuhashi Tim Pearson 🔭🏙🧦 brett 🐵🛰🚲 GrumpyScot 💙 Proud European from Austria🇪🇺🇦🇹 🌏 DefendamosLaCiencia ً Srinivas Korlepara Mark Hogle
    75 replies 575 retweets 1,677 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        I suspect (though I am unsure) that it misrepresents the views of Ramanan Laxminarayan @CDDEP . Since the journalist Ari Altstedter can't be bothered to present the story clearly I will explain what I thought Ramanan had proposed, which I said very clearly to him and what I said.

        5 replies 32 retweets 189 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        The writer from @business sent me a slide deck of Ramanan's talk. I was unsure what point it was trying to make, but after several reads I took it to make the following claims: 1) India's current lockdown is not sustainable and will kill many through economic damage.

        3 replies 20 retweets 122 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        2) Keeping the strict lockdown on and then lifting will delay a horrific epidemic without shrinking it appreciably. 1) seems reasonable (I'm not an expert in economics or India) and 2) is consistent with what we know about epidemics.

        3 replies 21 retweets 117 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        Therefore the slide deck seemed to argue 3) better than intense lockdown now, followed by nothing, is a milder social distancing, plus shielding the at-risk, which will flatten the curve somewhat but let the epidemic go through the population because it's inadequate for R<1

        3 replies 20 retweets 108 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        If those truly are the choices, Ramanan is correct that mild, sustained social distancing is superior to a lot followed by none. As @CT_Bergstrom has pointed out, even better would be mild distancing combined with a very intense intervention to slow transmission at the peak

        5 replies 28 retweets 159 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        Marc Lipsitch Retweeted Carl T. Bergstrom

        Here is a link to Carl's threadhttps://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1252075528711860224?s=20 …

        Marc Lipsitch added,

        Carl T. BergstromVerified account @CT_Bergstrom
        1. I believe that if #SARSCoV2 is allowed to spread uncontrolled through an entire nation, it will be an unprecedented humanitarian disaster. Every possible measure should be taken to prevent this from happening. Yet in some countries this may be unavoidable.
        Show this thread
        1 reply 27 retweets 119 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        I am not sure if I understood Ramanan's point from his slide deck, but if I understood it, I agree with the narrow statement: intense temporary social distancing is worse than sustained mild social distancing, even if the former temporarily gets R<1 and the latter allows R>1

        3 replies 38 retweets 148 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        Perhaps almost anyone would agree with that. The Bloomberg story instead says that Ramanan advocates a herd immunity strategy (maybe he does, not sure) and that I think the main problem with it is that maybe herd immunity is not that great. That is a problem.

        4 replies 18 retweets 98 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        But the bigger problem is that a herd immunity strategy will cost many lives. W/o question India should slow transmission as much as possible and protect the vulnerable. How to balance COVID damage with the damage of physical distancing is an awful tradeoff each country faces.

        9 replies 75 retweets 232 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 23 Apr 2020

        But after trying earnestly to understand the issues while talking to the reporter, I feel ambushed by being quoted with a technical objection to the strategy. I wonder how others quoted in the story feel. Lesson learned: amateur journalist on the loose.

        17 replies 35 retweets 269 likes
        Show this thread
      12. End of conversation

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2022 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info