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In the USA, HCHS data (https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html …) shows that the 2019/20 Flu + COVID19 Season led to 49,002 more excess deaths than the 2017/18 Flu Season. Evaluating the percent increase is difficult as we need a baseline level. We estimate the baseline level for each .... https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1267139769965969413 …pic.twitter.com/xzZcITnUoS
... each particular week as the total deaths that are not from pneumonia, and average this over the four preceding flu seasons (Table 2). This gives 185,315 excess deaths in the 2019/20 flu season compared to 136,313 excess deaths in the 2017/18 flu season, an increase of 36%.pic.twitter.com/q0N95xhVYt
Dr Levitt, please take a look at this thread: https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1267174557976166402 …pic.twitter.com/0QdWVvId8q
Also if I'm correct only 0.0067% of deaths were working thus adding to the economy? So closing down whole economies to add a small amount of life to the most elderly doesn't make sense? As much as each death is tragic.
So if I'm correct the average lifespan will decrease in the next few years and we will be able to calculate from that if it was all worth it? Ie-4 if the average lifespan decreases only by a few months we have ruined economies to save the eldest a few months life.
This is what I see in my county. Unregistered deaths.
but do we know the percentage of flu in the excess deaths of 2019/2020
Good cold data. A shame the Irish government can't read. #covidirl #lockdownintobancruptcy
Am I right in thinking (up deaths only) that's 52% of deaths from covid 19 were above the national average for lifespan? Does this mean that in the next few years the average deaths will come down in the UK (seeing as these elderly people wud have died inthe next few yrs anyway)
there must have been previous waves of c19 in the US, there looks like there could be a wave that happened Dec 2019. Wouldnt that prove there wasnt exponential growth naturally, not because of NPI, because no one was paying attention to c19 then?
So just by a quick count it looks like US covid-19 deaths underestimated by 36%.
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