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Politics aside, calling the Iowa victory before a single precinct has reported and betting markets had you at 20%, and then going on to win is a baller move. The political equivalent of running back on D before the shot goes in. https://twitter.com/PeteButtigieg/status/1224564353040625665 …pic.twitter.com/cYvdBxvyoI
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Michael Lane proslijedio/la je Tweet
I have an op-ed in the AFR on the lessons from the US experience with monetary policy for the RBA in the wake of yesterday’s official interest rate decisionhttp://www.afr.com/opinion/columns/rba-s-foot-dragging-leaves-economy-dangerously-exposed-20200203-p53xgw?btis …
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The caucus process might seem strange to the rest of the world. But the US is a very successful country, so empirically it doesn’t not work.
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Broke: Technical analysis Woke: Fundamental analysis Bespoke: Biblical analysishttps://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1223101945310629888 …
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Michael Lane proslijedio/la je Tweet
Very good thread on the perennial question "did economists predict the impact of Brexit accurately?"https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1223274409051545605 …
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Michael Lane proslijedio/la je Tweet
Amazing story from Paul Volcker's memoir . . .the 1971 Nixon shock was supposed to include US withdrawal from the 1965 auto pact with Canada. . . but a State Dept official tore off the last page of the press release mentioning it and it was forgotten!pic.twitter.com/GEmdwatvTT
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Another great addition to normie/urban infrustructure crossovers: https://twitter.com/timduggan/status/1221658406122975234?s=21 …https://twitter.com/timduggan/status/1221658406122975234 …
1:44Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
The best normie/urban infrastructure crossover since HS2 combined train enthusiasts and teen girls discussing Harry Styles’s second album.https://twitter.com/what_ntarnation/status/1222678442878988288 …
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Incidentally, there is a paper on this omission: https://www.jstor.org/stable/494309
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Given the amount of time spent on it: the cause of the Great Depression. Weeks of content and I don’t think the Federal Reserve was mentioned once.https://twitter.com/economeager/status/1222155352344580096 …
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Population control is even crazier as a solution when you consider that at the margin people WANT to live like New Yorkers. They’ll pay many times more to live in New York City.
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It is literally insane that we can reduce the average American’s carbon emissions by 65% by getting them to live like New Yorkers, but intellectuals’s preferred solution is large scale population control.https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1220696092532187136 …
0:15Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Michael Lane proslijedio/la je Tweet
“Many years later, as he faced the firing squad, Colonel Aureliano Buendía was to remember that distant afternoon when his father took him to discover ice.”https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1220733873958592518 …
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Picking stocks successfully is unbelievably hard. Diversify as much as you can (across geographies and cap sizes), to minimise your chances of missing out on the ‘wealth creators’.
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“We study compound returns to nearly 62,000 global common stocks during the 1990 to 2018 period ... we find that the top-performing 1.3% of firms account for the
$US 44.7 trillion in global stock market wealth creation from 1990 to 2018.” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3415739 …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
To assume rent as an input completely independent to the model (which the paper effectively does by tying it to income) is to ignore the mechanism through which supply constraints increase house prices. 4/4
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We have not seen the price of durable goods like washing machines or TVs rise relative to incomes. This is because there are little supply constraints on these goods. 3/4
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The paper assumes rents rise with incomes, which has been empirically true in the UK. But why are rents and incomes wedded? They vary widely across the US for example, both in terms of level and growth. 2/4pic.twitter.com/IFEPGcQqnJ
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“We find the decline in the real risk-free rate can account for all of the rise in house prices relative to incomes.” To me the most dubious part of this paper is “relative to incomes”. 1/4https://bankunderground.co.uk/2020/01/13/whats-been-driving-long-run-house-price-growth-in-the-uk/ …
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I can think of two: Chapter 13 - A Monetary History of the United States (Friedman and Schwartz) Chapter 3 - A History of England Vol. 1 (Macaulay)
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