50/50? There are 118 republican held seats that will be on the line. Dems only need to flip 24 of those to regain the majority. I think the odds are a little better than 50/50.
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Big turnout is required, so underestimating the odds is better.
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Anyone w/ eyes & ears believe it us much worse than that
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They aint seen nuthin yet
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Those treasonous MFs better be shaking in their boots!
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The vote was too close to call, Last I heard they were waiting for the count of the absentee votes to be finished in the areas that voted mostly gop. With about 700 votes difference at this point.. its still a toss up
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Yah but put in perspective, this seat will go poof in Nov and the election will be run all over again with hopefully higher voter turn out.
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Let them keep up the "50/50" narrative. Just more incentive for blue voters to turn out in November.
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Tom Cole is in dreamland. America will not reelect these treasonous snakes!!!
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Lol Tom Cole knows better than that.
@RonaldKlain said the thing last night - Connor Lamb just won an R+24 seat. There are 110+ seats across the country that are EASIER hills for the Dems to climb. They need to take 26 of those 110. Odds are more like 80/20. Cole knows it. -
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#PA18 was and is R+11. Still a massive repudiation of Trumpism and speaks well to progressive odds in November (provided we get out the vote nationwide). -
Last time Tim Murphy had an opponent there he won by 28. Trump won there by 20. Where are you getting R+11 from? Cook? Via Wikipedia maybe? PA18 never “was” R+11. It’s been a deep, R+20+ shade of red for decades. And evidently Cook was wrong about it being R+11 yesterday, too.
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Cook's normally pretty reliable. A history of recent races in PA18: https://twitter.com/CarrieNBCNews/status/973274918191353856 … The R+11 is an advantage that has to be overcome, which Lamb did yesterday despite being outspent nearly 10-to-1. Doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
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I get how Cook works, but (a) +11 leads don’t get overcome by first-time 30-somethings running against local sitting electeds and (b) even +11 was the best guess for NOW, post “resistance”. It has historically been an unopposed R seat. I don’t think anybody is overselling this.
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