We underestimate the power of a good idea. Most of the future potential for success is contained within the idea itself. Of course you need to *do the work* to move forward. But the idea determines your direction and momentum.
It's Sivers' math I don't like.
The future potential is all contained in the idea. It's either a 1X idea, a 10X idea, a 100x idea, etc...
Execution, I think, isn't the biggest multiplier. Maybe it gives you 1.5X. In most cases (especially with today's tech stacks) I think 1X
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yeah I don't agree with the ideas to execution in Sivers' post, but equally think that execution is far higher than a 1.5x ceiling my main point was regarding a third factor, reputation, being the biggest
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you can succeed without it for sure, but I'd argue big companies with average ideas and average execution are far likelier to succeed than new startups with good ideas and good execution
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