"The Imperial College estimates 2.2 million deaths in the US if the government fails to take dramatic steps to slow the spread of the virus. Deaths would peak in mid-July."
– @Laurie_Garrett
Here's the full report:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf …
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FT: "Imperial’s main finding, clearly, is that suppression, “which aims to reverse epidemic growth, reducing case numbers to low levels and maintaining that situation indefinitely”, is the only viable way forward."https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2020/03/17/1584439125000/That-Imperial-coronavirus-report--in-detail-/ …
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NYMAG: “We were expecting herd immunity to build,” Imperial epidemiologist Azra Ghani said in a press conference on Monday night. “We now realize it’s not possible to cope with that.” https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/u-k-realized-its-coronavirus-plan-could-kill-over-100-000.html …pic.twitter.com/mvkyyx8UEC
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Yea, currently at a 62% growth rate. Per day. Crazy.https://twitter.com/spdustin/status/1239774128825122816 …
Dziękujemy. Twitter skorzysta z tych informacji, aby Twoja oś czasu bardziej Ci odpowiadała. CofnijCofnij
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I read this and I agree that it is sobering. I shared with a friend, and he pointed me to a worthwhile critique: https://necsi.edu/review-of-ferguson-et-al-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions …
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The predictions vary so widely.
hoping for the best, preparing for the worst.
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Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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building