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I agree with Mike that we have enough leverage to avoid aspects of scenario 1 and 2 but currently not enough cultural willpower or shared values to achieve scenario 3.
agree, i don’t think china is ascending to global dominance, but i also don’t think america is building. it’s unfortunately possible *no one* ascends. we could be looking at global decline.
A world where China is dealing with a lot of internal problems and the U.S. is descending into mediocrity is a very dangerous one to live in. In that scenario, seems like you could have a cold war/actual war where everyone basically loses.
Israel and Australia and Russia seem to like China just fine. Germany isn’t going to pick US. We have Japan and S Korea maybe. India is very strategic.
A different President might have used the current situation to unite the American people toward a common goal, as W did after 9/11.
yes, and a different america might have elected him
Lol. Then the whole argument is based on a wrong premise. China has the upper hand in pretty much anything - they are a bigger market, highly cohesive and protectionist, they own the production of most goods, and their economic strength is growing. It’s undoubtedly ascending.
His podcast episode with @patrick_oshag was one of the best I’ve ever heard. Totally blew my mind.
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