You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more
I hope I’m wrong but in order of likeliness I think the next 10-15 yrs is: 1. US war with China, China ascends. 2. No hard war but US fades into second place globally, like EU today. 3. US turns corner. We build skyscrapers in 14 days, a green grid, etc. How do we invert this?
china is an energy poor, totalitarian state with a bad international brand and an addiction to free trade. it needs the US. but the US does not need china.
Don't forget the house of cards financial system!
I agree with Mike that we have enough leverage to avoid aspects of scenario 1 and 2 but currently not enough cultural willpower or shared values to achieve scenario 3.
agree, i don’t think china is ascending to global dominance, but i also don’t think america is building. it’s unfortunately possible *no one* ascends. we could be looking at global decline.
Agree, China took a huge global reputation and credibility hit this year
Peter Zeihan makes this case well
As mentioned in other replies I think he is wrong about both the energy piece and the conventional navy mattering. He’s right about food and our oceanic natural defenses
China is winning on GDP, brand hasn’t stopped them from making huge inroads into Africa and Southeast Asia.
Also bad demographics
I think energy poor changes fast. They have Russia short term at least, plus Iran. And nuclear and solar medium term if they need it.
Switching dependencies doesn’t make you independent . A lot of the energy dependency doesn’t lend itself to grid electricity (vehicles, planes, ships). It won’t just be the US defaulting (BaR countries too)
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
