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the problem we face in discussing coronavirus is our blindspot to outlier events, and by extension existential risk. a new, lethal, highly-communicable virus, if even contained, is *certainly* more dangerous than a widespread flu we already understand. and this isn't contained.
framed another way, coronavirus is an asymmetric risk. we can reasonably estimate the number of people who will die this year from flu. but there's currently no predicting coronavirus. its impact could be negligible, or it could be the deadliest pandemic in history.
the trouble of course is not losing our minds every time a new virus appears, because there will *always* be a new virus. but one of them, eventually, will bring us to our knees. we need to be vigilant.
Stop be so alarmist, Mike. The flu has already killed 10,000 Americans this year.pic.twitter.com/toLcOT90sU
@nntaleb warned us of these blind spots 
yup, most of my thinking about this kind of stuff is just a synthesis of him and bostrom
This should go without saying, but the fact there is so much discussion around the place, on this very topic, shows how few understand even the basics of what is happening
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