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micsolana's profile
Mike Solana
Mike Solana
Mike Solana
@micsolana

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Mike Solana

@micsolana

technology, liberty, teenagers with superpowers. vp @foundersfund. creator + producer #anatomyofnext, #problematic. ringleader @hereticon.

San Francisco
apple.co/3e311m1
Joined January 2009

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    Mike Solana‏ @micsolana 16 Oct 2019
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    quick question which jobs have been automated out of existence, exactly? folks are in hysterics over the trend, so presumably we have some terrifying data to support the claim which... somehow also reconciles itself with a *decline* in unemployment. right?

    10:46 AM - 16 Oct 2019
    • 19 Retweets
    • 123 Likes
    • 🇭🇰 Kunal Shah 🇭🇰 Coinnective John David Mihai Simionescu Ben Hovaness Magnus Petersen-Paaske Kevin Moore Andrew Bunner Charles Ponce
    46 replies 19 retweets 123 likes
      1. Mike Solana‏ @micsolana 16 Oct 2019
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        also fascinating that warren, committed enemy of the technology industry, has been more thoughtful about this question than yang, who pretends he represents us.

        2 replies 2 retweets 38 likes
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      1. Mike Solana‏ @micsolana 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @coolassdude6941 @ani_pai @jayjayHales

        right, not hiring new bank tellers is not the same thing as bank teller dystopia is not the same thing as imminently approaching 80 percent joblessness

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      2. K Kulkarni‏ @kkulk1 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @micsolana

        Horse drivers, elevator operators, computers at NASA, typists, shorthand writers

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Mike Solana‏ @micsolana 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @kkulk1

        agree jobs have become redundant over time. my point is we have seen no corresponding mass joblessness, no contemporary wave of automation, and no indication whatsoever of the joblessness yang is talking about.

        1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
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      2. Lawrence Kesteloot‏ @lkesteloot 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @micsolana

        At a talk @robinhanson said that there's a falloff of automated job loss because we've done the low-hanging fruits and now it's getting pretty hard to automate remaining jobs. (I vaguely remember a chart to go with this. Robin do you have it handy?)

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      3. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @lkesteloot @micsolana

        I'd say the rate at which jobs have been automated has long been relatively steady & slow, neither accelerating nor decelerating. Over the last 20 years, the average degree of automation of jobs has increased by ~0.1 standard deviation.

        11 replies 21 retweets 153 likes
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      2. GM  🦚‏ @mathurgaurav 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @micsolana

        Maybe @antoniogm has some insights here. I remember vaguely his twitter back and forth with Benedict Evans on the topic.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Benedict Evans‏Verified account @benedictevans 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @mathurgaurav @micsolana @antoniogm

        This has been a steady process for 200 years. Jobs are always being automated out of existence. How many house maids, Linotype operators or elevator attendants are there now?The question is whether something new is happening.

        0 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Joel Andren  💅🏼‏ @joelandren 16 Oct 2019
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        Replying to @micsolana

        6 million manufacturing jobs.https://qz.com/1269172/the-epic-mistake-about-manufacturing-thats-cost-americans-millions-of-jobs/ …

        1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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