For the 14 day average change to >double in only 3 days means that the actual current change is much more than 15% (to pull a 14-day change that far up in only 3 days means the past three days have seen remarkably large increases). 2/
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This is not some fear tactic. This is peoples lives. This is the proper functioning of our healthcare system (already stretched to the brim at baseline). We are only at the beginning of this “spike” and it could continue accelerating up for months! 3/
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I don’t want to see everything close down again. I don’t want to see people spending their last days alone. But if we do not start dealing w this properly today, we are going to be right where we were in April with cities closed and travel restricted. We can change our course.
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Sorry - I misspoke - it’s perhaps worse - not hospitalizations - deaths! The pace of 14-day CHANGE of deaths has accelerated from 7% to 15%!
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I said it at the time and nothing since has changed my mind: Once Trump got coivd he became the only person who has ever had covid... and he survived.
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Not USA only even Europe today France recovered over 50 000 new cases
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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The Boston area sewage data really has me worried. It is presumably more controlled than test data (since not as subject to sample bias) and is presumably a leading indicator. If its trend continues with no action, will we far overshoot our Spring peak? http://www.mwra.com/biobot/biobotdata.htm …
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The chart shows cases and deaths, but you refer to hospitalizations. I’m confused about what data you are referencing.
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See above. I mistakenly Misspoke. Deaths. Which is even more concerning.
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