is it your claim that the state polls in 2016 were accurate https://twitter.com/Rando39869264/status/1211814690319413249 …
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The polls (interpreted rationally) gave trump a 28.6% chance to win. That’s not 0. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ … It’s a function of not understanding a probabilistic forecast that generates the belief that the polls failed. 29% things should happen. Itd be a failure if they never did
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At least you sounded smart. Plus 15pts for Biden because of that.
End of conversation
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