Only the lowest candidates support gets moved across. So Nandy could come third but then get Thornberry's second preference voters to push her into second and then get Starmer's second prefs. A lot of "could"s, but it's possible.
Something I don't get about commentary on Nandy: The second preference strategy doesn't work unless you come at least 2nd in terms of first preferences. If Nandy comes last, it will be the second prefs of her voters that are redistributed, no-one elses. Am I missing something?pic.twitter.com/przsBCrZLF
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I was assuming Thornberry wouldn't get through tbh. You are right. Though it would be such a far-fetched series of events I don't think it could count as the basis of a strategy!
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No. Think it's just that some people haven't moved on from "hey, she has a route to victory" when her campaign started to now, when it looks harder and harder to see how, barring an absolutely astonishing set of telly debates, the second place finish happens.
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tbh given 2015 involving various anti-Corbyn candidates urging each other to drop out and 2016 insisting on a single challenger candidate we should allow for the possibility many people, including MPs. just don't really understand preferential voting.
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No, a lot of people don't understand the voting system
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I read reading something a bit ago saying that one candidate (I can't actually remember who) was likely to do well out of the 2nd preferences from the people who are putting Starmer 1st. Like they genuinely think Starmer won't finish in the top 2, or don't know how this works...
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Barring seismic shifts, RLB and Starmer will be in the final round so all that matters is which one of these two candidates you place highest on your ballot.
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More or less. Agree in LN’s case, certainly. But in general, it’s possible. Consider candidates in descending order A, B, C, D. If they come close, & if most of D‘s 2nd prefs go to C, then C could get over the line with 2nd prefs of B.
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Here’s an (extreme) illustration: First round: A 26, B 26, C 25, D 23. D knocked out. All of D’s 2nd prefs go to C: C 49, A 26, B 25. B knocked out, 2nd prefs split: C 59, A 41.
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So many people just don’t understand how it works and assume all second preferences are counted in round 2
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