Does personal knowledge about psychology or rationality actually help with large or small personal decision making? Seems like a premise of learning about cognitive biases, LessWrong, etc.
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Maybe we are worse at achieving goals if we remove our own bias in favor of correctness. Convincing yourself that your new company is a guaranteed success probably makes you a more convincing leader. Your politics are probably more convincing if you give in to confirmation bias.
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Kahneman's skepticism has been shifting in response to evidence, e.g. Phil
@PTetlock's success finding & training superforecasters. -
Kahneman: "I started out as a skeptic, and it’s hard to stay completely skeptical when you see this evidence. It’s very clear that they have identified a population of people who are different from the basic model of progression that many of us, that at least I, have offered."
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