What do our (supposed) intellectual elite know about human progress? Repost: https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=165938533888688&id=100014176268390 … Intro excerpted belowpic.twitter.com/DRaMaYqnNy
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Never done one. I read Tetlock's paper, but must admit I don't recall much. Not that it seemed bad - seemed very interesting, and worth studying in more depth.
It feels like a good source of the signal, in addition to @OurWorldInData, for calibrating your ideas about the state of the world, if that seems interesting. There's a similarity in this with how spaced repetition works.
But it obviously has its own filter bubble.
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