What do our (supposed) intellectual elite know about human progress? Repost: https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=165938533888688&id=100014176268390 … Intro excerpted belowpic.twitter.com/DRaMaYqnNy
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A fair number of people seem to take this as personally impugning them if they get a low score. But with just 8 questions & s'times fine-grained categories, it's a mistake to read too much into an individual result (high or low). The overall statistics, OTOH, do seem interesting
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I.e., if you get a low (or high) score maybe you were just unlucky (or lucky). But when a large group of people get a low average score, that's pretty interesting, even accounting for the fact it's just an online poll.
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I wonder if people are wrong in a specific direction (in addition to what would be expected by chance).
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I wouldn't mind looking into this, if the data is available.
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I do agree with what you're saying, but I'd also take the survey results with a grain of salt: they've carefully chosen the framing and available choices to bias us to the wrong answers. e.g. the correct answers are often an extreme choice amongst the options
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Sure. Still: worse than chance (or, more recently, a little better than chance) is not an impressive showing. If someone showed me their method for getting 9% on MNIST I wouldn't be impressed, even if they convincingly argued there are biases in the data set.
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