What do our (supposed) intellectual elite know about human progress? Repost: https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=165938533888688&id=100014176268390 … Intro excerpted belowpic.twitter.com/DRaMaYqnNy
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Yes. And no. "Knew" is too strong for some questions; "had a good idea" is closer. I could easily have gotten 5/8 or 6/8 (or 8/8) initially.
Incidentally, for forming good models of these kinds of questions, I recommend following @ourworldindata & @MaxCRoser.
Does your Anki use have anything to do with this? I remember you saying you commit a lot of demographic information etc to memory; could the resulting models be to blame?
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