This seems generically true: a researcher who is often worried about being scooped should change field, or at least problem type.https://twitter.com/preskill/status/903389753097277440 …
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Think in effect this wd mainly select for arrogance. In practice confidence nobody can possibly do what you do != true originality of work
It doesn't require such confidence - it requires confidence that no-one else is doing what you do, which is very different.
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Upon reflection, I guess what I said isn't necessarily in conflict with what you said ("would mainly select").
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Still, as an injunction to self I think it's extremely helpful.
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