michael_nielsen

Great blog post from @michael_nielsen responding to mine, on the alleged tension between rationality and innovation: http://michaelnielsen.org/blog/is-there-a-tension-between-creativity-and-accuracy/ …

Nielsen's argument: "Given limited resources, balance accuracy maximization with actually *doing* something."

I.e.: To max E(value) don't wait to have perfect model on which to calc. the expectation, may run outta time to take the maximizing actions

But @ times sounds like assuming being wrong = being irrational. Or that if randomly scored goal by badly aiming pass, you should aim badly

Trying unproven ideas is evidence gathering, a v. rational thing to do. Consumes resources, though, so should be planned rationally.

Yup. But I think @michael_nielsen believes that, bc of our psychology, calibrated ppl wouldn't be motivated to do high-EV, low-prob things